Recent polling shows the Social Democrats leading at around 30-32%, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20% and the Moderates around 17%, positioning larger parties well ahead of contention for fifth place in the September 2026 Riksdag election. This leaves the Centre Party, Greens, and Left Party clustered in the mid-single digits with the strongest implied probabilities for finishing fifth, as their support levels keep them bunched in the middle of the field. The governing bloc and opposition alliances remain closely balanced overall, with minor shifts in recent surveys sustaining uncertainty over exact rankings among these mid-tier parties. Developments such as voter turnout variations, late campaign events, or changes in bloc coordination could alter the precise order and create separation in the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCentre Party (C) 36%
Green Party (MP) 35%
Left Party (V) 18%
Christian Democrats (KD) 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
Centre Party (C)
36%
Green Party (MP)
35%
Left Party (V)
18%
Christian Democrats (KD)
25%
Liberals (L)
9%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
6%
Moderate Party (M)
5%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
5%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
3%
Centre Party (C) 36%
Green Party (MP) 35%
Left Party (V) 18%
Christian Democrats (KD) 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
Centre Party (C)
$38 Vol.
36%
Green Party (MP)
$38 Vol.
35%
Left Party (V)
$38 Vol.
18%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$47 Vol.
25%
Liberals (L)
$38 Vol.
9%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$120 Vol.
6%
Moderate Party (M)
$308 Vol.
5%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$129 Vol.
5%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$136 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling shows the Social Democrats leading at around 30-32%, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20% and the Moderates around 17%, positioning larger parties well ahead of contention for fifth place in the September 2026 Riksdag election. This leaves the Centre Party, Greens, and Left Party clustered in the mid-single digits with the strongest implied probabilities for finishing fifth, as their support levels keep them bunched in the middle of the field. The governing bloc and opposition alliances remain closely balanced overall, with minor shifts in recent surveys sustaining uncertainty over exact rankings among these mid-tier parties. Developments such as voter turnout variations, late campaign events, or changes in bloc coordination could alter the precise order and create separation in the market.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ET
Volumen
$892Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling shows the Social Democrats leading at around 30-32%, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20% and the Moderates around 17%, positioning larger parties well ahead of contention for fifth place in the September 2026 Riksdag election. This leaves the Centre Party, Greens, and Left Party clustered in the mid-single digits with the strongest implied probabilities for finishing fifth, as their support levels keep them bunched in the middle of the field. The governing bloc and opposition alliances remain closely balanced overall, with minor shifts in recent surveys sustaining uncertainty over exact rankings among these mid-tier parties. Developments such as voter turnout variations, late campaign events, or changes in bloc coordination could alter the precise order and create separation in the market.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$892Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Social Democrats leading at around 30-32%, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20% and the Moderates around 17%, positioning larger parties well ahead of contention for fifth place in the September 2026 Riksdag election. This leaves the Centre Party, Greens, and Left Party clustered in the mid-single digits with the strongest implied probabilities for finishing fifth, as their support levels keep them bunched in the middle of the field. The governing bloc and opposition alliances remain closely balanced overall, with minor shifts in recent surveys sustaining uncertainty over exact rankings among these mid-tier parties. Developments such as voter turnout variations, late campaign events, or changes in bloc coordination could alter the precise order and create separation in the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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