Recent energy price surges and trade tensions have driven one-year inflation expectations to 4.6% in the University of Michigan survey, the highest since June, pressuring household budgets and pushing the preliminary September 2026 Consumer Sentiment index down to 47.8 from 51.7 in August. This decline, the second consecutive drop and near record lows, reflects plunging expectations for personal finances and business conditions amid elevated fuel costs, with broad-based weakness across political affiliations. Stable labor conditions, including an unemployment rate near 4.1% and August payroll gains of 162,000, have provided limited offset. Trader consensus in the 46.0–48.9 range aligns with these verified pressures, while the final September release later this month remains the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado46.0 a 48.9 61%
43.0 a 45.9 27%
49.0 a 51.9 7.8%
55.0 a 57.9 5.1%
<43.0
3%
43.0 a 45.9
27%
46.0 a 48.9
61%
49.0 a 51.9
8%
52.0 a 54.9
<1%
55.0 a 57.9
5%
58.0+
6%
46.0 a 48.9 61%
43.0 a 45.9 27%
49.0 a 51.9 7.8%
55.0 a 57.9 5.1%
<43.0
3%
43.0 a 45.9
27%
46.0 a 48.9
61%
49.0 a 51.9
8%
52.0 a 54.9
<1%
55.0 a 57.9
5%
58.0+
6%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Fuente de resolución
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent energy price surges and trade tensions have driven one-year inflation expectations to 4.6% in the University of Michigan survey, the highest since June, pressuring household budgets and pushing the preliminary September 2026 Consumer Sentiment index down to 47.8 from 51.7 in August. This decline, the second consecutive drop and near record lows, reflects plunging expectations for personal finances and business conditions amid elevated fuel costs, with broad-based weakness across political affiliations. Stable labor conditions, including an unemployment rate near 4.1% and August payroll gains of 162,000, have provided limited offset. Trader consensus in the 46.0–48.9 range aligns with these verified pressures, while the final September release later this month remains the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes