Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, down from July’s 55.6 peak but still marking the eighth straight month of expansion, anchors trader positioning for the September release. Moderation in new orders to 53.7 and backlogs to 51.8, alongside persistent price pressures at 71.1 amid tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, has tempered momentum while production held near 58.3 and 15 of 18 industries expanded. Market-implied odds concentrate around the 54.0–54.9 range at 36.5 percent, reflecting expectations that the sector’s post-contraction recovery will continue at a measured pace ahead of the October 1 report, with lower-probability bins capturing potential further softening or reacceleration tied to input costs and demand trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado53.0 a 53.9 27%
56.0 a 56.9 27%
57,0 a 57,9 26%
51.0 a 51.9 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 oct 2026
<50.0
6%
50.0 a 50.9
24%
51.0 a 51.9
25%
52,0 a 52,9
14%
53.0 a 53.9
27%
54.0 a 54.9
16%
55.0 a 55.9
23%
56.0 a 56.9
27%
57,0 a 57,9
26%
58.0+
24%
53.0 a 53.9 27%
56.0 a 56.9 27%
57,0 a 57,9 26%
51.0 a 51.9 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 oct 2026
<50.0
$160 Vol.
6%
50.0 a 50.9
$17 Vol.
24%
51.0 a 51.9
$17 Vol.
25%
52,0 a 52,9
$34 Vol.
14%
53.0 a 53.9
$18 Vol.
27%
54.0 a 54.9
$16 Vol.
16%
55.0 a 55.9
$32 Vol.
23%
56.0 a 56.9
$18 Vol.
27%
57,0 a 57,9
$17 Vol.
26%
58.0+
$26 Vol.
24%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, down from July’s 55.6 peak but still marking the eighth straight month of expansion, anchors trader positioning for the September release. Moderation in new orders to 53.7 and backlogs to 51.8, alongside persistent price pressures at 71.1 amid tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, has tempered momentum while production held near 58.3 and 15 of 18 industries expanded. Market-implied odds concentrate around the 54.0–54.9 range at 36.5 percent, reflecting expectations that the sector’s post-contraction recovery will continue at a measured pace ahead of the October 1 report, with lower-probability bins capturing potential further softening or reacceleration tied to input costs and demand trends.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volumen
$354Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, down from July’s 55.6 peak but still marking the eighth straight month of expansion, anchors trader positioning for the September release. Moderation in new orders to 53.7 and backlogs to 51.8, alongside persistent price pressures at 71.1 amid tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, has tempered momentum while production held near 58.3 and 15 of 18 industries expanded. Market-implied odds concentrate around the 54.0–54.9 range at 36.5 percent, reflecting expectations that the sector’s post-contraction recovery will continue at a measured pace ahead of the October 1 report, with lower-probability bins capturing potential further softening or reacceleration tied to input costs and demand trends.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$354Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, down from July’s 55.6 peak but still marking the eighth straight month of expansion, anchors trader positioning for the September release. Moderation in new orders to 53.7 and backlogs to 51.8, alongside persistent price pressures at 71.1 amid tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, has tempered momentum while production held near 58.3 and 15 of 18 industries expanded. Market-implied odds concentrate around the 54.0–54.9 range at 36.5 percent, reflecting expectations that the sector’s post-contraction recovery will continue at a measured pace ahead of the October 1 report, with lower-probability bins capturing potential further softening or reacceleration tied to input costs and demand trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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