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Política·Primarias

VA-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

icon for VA-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Política·Primarias

VA-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Elaine Luria 87%

James Osyf 5.0%

Matt Strickler 3.6%

Burk Stringfellow 3.5%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Elaine Luria 87%

James Osyf 5.0%

Matt Strickler 3.6%

Burk Stringfellow 3.5%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Elaine Luria

$1,330 Vol.

87%

James Osyf

$1,112 Vol.

5%

Matt Strickler

$594 Vol.

4%

Burk Stringfellow

$616 Vol.

3%

Patrick Mosolf

$1,514 Vol.

3%

Nila Devanath

$878 Vol.

1%

Nicolaus Sleister

$1,035 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Representative Elaine Luria dominates trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability to win the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4, driven by her proven track record representing the military-heavy district from 2019 to 2023, superior fundraising exceeding $1.75 million in Q1 2026 with over $2 million cash on hand, and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inclusion on its Red to Blue target list in February. Matt Strickler's April 28 withdrawal after six months in the race—pledging support for the nominee—further consolidated backing behind Luria, elevating her from a crowded field of seven. Lesser-known challengers like Navy reservist James Osyf, former USAID contractor Patrick Mosolf, and physician Nila Devanath trail due to limited resources and name recognition, with no public primary polls available ahead of early voting starting June 19.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,079
Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Representative Elaine Luria dominates trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability to win the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4, driven by her proven track record representing the military-heavy district from 2019 to 2023, superior fundraising exceeding $1.75 million in Q1 2026 with over $2 million cash on hand, and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inclusion on its Red to Blue target list in February. Matt Strickler's April 28 withdrawal after six months in the race—pledging support for the nominee—further consolidated backing behind Luria, elevating her from a crowded field of seven. Lesser-known challengers like Navy reservist James Osyf, former USAID contractor Patrick Mosolf, and physician Nila Devanath trail due to limited resources and name recognition, with no public primary polls available ahead of early voting starting June 19.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,079
Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"VA-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Elaine Luria" con 87%, seguido de "James Osyf" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 87¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"VA-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Nov 25, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "VA-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "VA-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Elaine Luria" con 87%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "James Osyf" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "VA-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.