Abelardo de la Espriella secured roughly 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first round, placing him squarely in the 40-45 percent band that now commands near-certain trader consensus. His commanding position stems from rapid consolidation of right-wing and centrist support behind a tough-on-crime platform that outperformed late polls, while center-right rival Paloma Valencia captured under 7 percent and left-leaning voters split. Official preliminary tallies with nearly all votes counted locked in the result ahead of the June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda. Only a material revision during final certification or an unprecedented recount could shift the outcome outside this narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAbelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
40-45% 99.4%
45%+ <1%
20-25% <1%
<20% <1%
$13,409 Объем
$13,409 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
<20%
<1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
<1%
30-35%
<1%
35-40%
<1%
40-45%
99%
45%+
1%
40-45% 99.4%
45%+ <1%
20-25% <1%
<20% <1%
$13,409 Объем
$13,409 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
<20%
$973 Объем
<1%
20-25%
$1,653 Объем
<1%
25-30%
$1,781 Объем
<1%
30-35%
$1,237 Объем
<1%
35-40%
$1,769 Объем
<1%
40-45%
$2,940 Объем
99%
45%+
$3,056 Объем
1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella secured roughly 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first round, placing him squarely in the 40-45 percent band that now commands near-certain trader consensus. His commanding position stems from rapid consolidation of right-wing and centrist support behind a tough-on-crime platform that outperformed late polls, while center-right rival Paloma Valencia captured under 7 percent and left-leaning voters split. Official preliminary tallies with nearly all votes counted locked in the result ahead of the June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda. Only a material revision during final certification or an unprecedented recount could shift the outcome outside this narrow range.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Открытие рынка: May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ET
Объем
$13,409Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella secured roughly 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first round, placing him squarely in the 40-45 percent band that now commands near-certain trader consensus. His commanding position stems from rapid consolidation of right-wing and centrist support behind a tough-on-crime platform that outperformed late polls, while center-right rival Paloma Valencia captured under 7 percent and left-leaning voters split. Official preliminary tallies with nearly all votes counted locked in the result ahead of the June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda. Only a material revision during final certification or an unprecedented recount could shift the outcome outside this narrow range.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Объем
$13,409Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella secured roughly 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first round, placing him squarely in the 40-45 percent band that now commands near-certain trader consensus. His commanding position stems from rapid consolidation of right-wing and centrist support behind a tough-on-crime platform that outperformed late polls, while center-right rival Paloma Valencia captured under 7 percent and left-leaning voters split. Official preliminary tallies with nearly all votes counted locked in the result ahead of the June 21 runoff against Iván Cepeda. Only a material revision during final certification or an unprecedented recount could shift the outcome outside this narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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