Recent reports of Anthropic pursuing a $30–50 billion private funding round at a $900 billion-plus valuation have fueled trader optimism for a post-IPO market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion, reflecting strong demand for its Claude large language model amid rapid AI adoption. Secondary-market trading has already pushed implied valuations toward $1 trillion, outpacing OpenAI in some sessions, while preparations involving investment banks and law firms signal an IPO window as early as late 2026. Persistent unprofitability, heavy reliance on hyperscaler commitments from Amazon and Google, and the absence of an SEC filing keep the “no IPO by end-2027” bucket active at 13.5 percent, underscoring how execution timelines and broader tech-market conditions could still shift outcomes across the wide probability spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.8T+ 33%
1.2–1.5T 16%
1.5–1.8T 14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
$47,746 Vol.
$47,746 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
5%
0.9–1.2T
11%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
33%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.8T+ 33%
1.2–1.5T 16%
1.5–1.8T 14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
$47,746 Vol.
$47,746 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
$3,442 Vol.
4%
0.6–0.9T
$7,164 Vol.
5%
0.9–1.2T
$6,108 Vol.
11%
1.2–1.5T
$5,186 Vol.
16%
1.5–1.8T
$5,471 Vol.
14%
1.8T+
$13,000 Vol.
33%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$7,375 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports of Anthropic pursuing a $30–50 billion private funding round at a $900 billion-plus valuation have fueled trader optimism for a post-IPO market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion, reflecting strong demand for its Claude large language model amid rapid AI adoption. Secondary-market trading has already pushed implied valuations toward $1 trillion, outpacing OpenAI in some sessions, while preparations involving investment banks and law firms signal an IPO window as early as late 2026. Persistent unprofitability, heavy reliance on hyperscaler commitments from Amazon and Google, and the absence of an SEC filing keep the “no IPO by end-2027” bucket active at 13.5 percent, underscoring how execution timelines and broader tech-market conditions could still shift outcomes across the wide probability spread.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$47,746End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports of Anthropic pursuing a $30–50 billion private funding round at a $900 billion-plus valuation have fueled trader optimism for a post-IPO market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion, reflecting strong demand for its Claude large language model amid rapid AI adoption. Secondary-market trading has already pushed implied valuations toward $1 trillion, outpacing OpenAI in some sessions, while preparations involving investment banks and law firms signal an IPO window as early as late 2026. Persistent unprofitability, heavy reliance on hyperscaler commitments from Amazon and Google, and the absence of an SEC filing keep the “no IPO by end-2027” bucket active at 13.5 percent, underscoring how execution timelines and broader tech-market conditions could still shift outcomes across the wide probability spread.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$47,746End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports of Anthropic pursuing a $30–50 billion private funding round at a $900 billion-plus valuation have fueled trader optimism for a post-IPO market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion, reflecting strong demand for its Claude large language model amid rapid AI adoption. Secondary-market trading has already pushed implied valuations toward $1 trillion, outpacing OpenAI in some sessions, while preparations involving investment banks and law firms signal an IPO window as early as late 2026. Persistent unprofitability, heavy reliance on hyperscaler commitments from Amazon and Google, and the absence of an SEC filing keep the “no IPO by end-2027” bucket active at 13.5 percent, underscoring how execution timelines and broader tech-market conditions could still shift outcomes across the wide probability spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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