Recent July inflation data at 2.1% month-on-month—slightly above consensus and ending three prior months of deceleration—has anchored trader expectations for August around the 1.8% mark amid ongoing disinflation under Argentina’s fiscal surplus and tight monetary stance. Central bank surveys and private forecasts project a moderation to roughly 1.8% for August, reflecting normalized seasonal pressures after winter holiday effects and continued relative price adjustments. The near-even split between the 1.5-1.7% and 1.8-2.0% bins captures uncertainty over the pace of momentum resumption, with year-end 2026 forecasts now centered near 29-30% following recent downward revisions. Key upcoming catalysts include the INDEC release in mid-September and any shifts in BCRA policy communications.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
1.8-2.0% 49.7%
1.5-1.7% 48.1%
2.1-2.3% 9%
≤1.1% <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
48%
1.8-2.0%
50%
2.1-2.3%
9%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
1.8-2.0% 49.7%
1.5-1.7% 48.1%
2.1-2.3% 9%
≤1.1% <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
$182 Vol.
1%
1.2-1.4%
$166 Vol.
1%
1.5-1.7%
$758 Vol.
48%
1.8-2.0%
$644 Vol.
50%
2.1-2.3%
$371 Vol.
9%
2.4-2.6%
$166 Vol.
1%
2.7-2.9%
$166 Vol.
1%
3.0%+
$166 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July inflation data at 2.1% month-on-month—slightly above consensus and ending three prior months of deceleration—has anchored trader expectations for August around the 1.8% mark amid ongoing disinflation under Argentina’s fiscal surplus and tight monetary stance. Central bank surveys and private forecasts project a moderation to roughly 1.8% for August, reflecting normalized seasonal pressures after winter holiday effects and continued relative price adjustments. The near-even split between the 1.5-1.7% and 1.8-2.0% bins captures uncertainty over the pace of momentum resumption, with year-end 2026 forecasts now centered near 29-30% following recent downward revisions. Key upcoming catalysts include the INDEC release in mid-September and any shifts in BCRA policy communications.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Volume
$2,619End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July inflation data at 2.1% month-on-month—slightly above consensus and ending three prior months of deceleration—has anchored trader expectations for August around the 1.8% mark amid ongoing disinflation under Argentina’s fiscal surplus and tight monetary stance. Central bank surveys and private forecasts project a moderation to roughly 1.8% for August, reflecting normalized seasonal pressures after winter holiday effects and continued relative price adjustments. The near-even split between the 1.5-1.7% and 1.8-2.0% bins captures uncertainty over the pace of momentum resumption, with year-end 2026 forecasts now centered near 29-30% following recent downward revisions. Key upcoming catalysts include the INDEC release in mid-September and any shifts in BCRA policy communications.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$2,619End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July inflation data at 2.1% month-on-month—slightly above consensus and ending three prior months of deceleration—has anchored trader expectations for August around the 1.8% mark amid ongoing disinflation under Argentina’s fiscal surplus and tight monetary stance. Central bank surveys and private forecasts project a moderation to roughly 1.8% for August, reflecting normalized seasonal pressures after winter holiday effects and continued relative price adjustments. The near-even split between the 1.5-1.7% and 1.8-2.0% bins captures uncertainty over the pace of momentum resumption, with year-end 2026 forecasts now centered near 29-30% following recent downward revisions. Key upcoming catalysts include the INDEC release in mid-September and any shifts in BCRA policy communications.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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