Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Atlanta’s August 3 high will likely fall in the mid-80s, with 86–87 °F holding a narrow edge in trader consensus. Key drivers include modest surface heating under partly cloudy skies, elevated dew points near 70 °F that limit diurnal temperature rise, and scattered afternoon convection capable of trimming peak readings by 1–3 °F depending on timing and coverage. Historical climatology places early-August Atlanta maxima near 88 °F, yet recent model trends show slightly cooler steering flow and higher cloud fraction than seasonal norms. This tight clustering of probable outcomes—84–85 °F versus 86–87 °F versus 88–89 °F—explains the closely matched market probabilities, with new 00Z and 12Z runs expected to refine the exact ceiling before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on August 3?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on August 3?
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 30%
88-89°F 20%
82-83°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 30%
88-89°F 20%
82-83°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
75°F or below
$70 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$273 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$123 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$122 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$127 Vol.
10%
84-85°F
$94 Vol.
30%
86-87°F
$764 Vol.
37%
88-89°F
$542 Vol.
20%
90-91°F
$244 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$73 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$59 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Atlanta’s August 3 high will likely fall in the mid-80s, with 86–87 °F holding a narrow edge in trader consensus. Key drivers include modest surface heating under partly cloudy skies, elevated dew points near 70 °F that limit diurnal temperature rise, and scattered afternoon convection capable of trimming peak readings by 1–3 °F depending on timing and coverage. Historical climatology places early-August Atlanta maxima near 88 °F, yet recent model trends show slightly cooler steering flow and higher cloud fraction than seasonal norms. This tight clustering of probable outcomes—84–85 °F versus 86–87 °F versus 88–89 °F—explains the closely matched market probabilities, with new 00Z and 12Z runs expected to refine the exact ceiling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,492End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Atlanta’s August 3 high will likely fall in the mid-80s, with 86–87 °F holding a narrow edge in trader consensus. Key drivers include modest surface heating under partly cloudy skies, elevated dew points near 70 °F that limit diurnal temperature rise, and scattered afternoon convection capable of trimming peak readings by 1–3 °F depending on timing and coverage. Historical climatology places early-August Atlanta maxima near 88 °F, yet recent model trends show slightly cooler steering flow and higher cloud fraction than seasonal norms. This tight clustering of probable outcomes—84–85 °F versus 86–87 °F versus 88–89 °F—explains the closely matched market probabilities, with new 00Z and 12Z runs expected to refine the exact ceiling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,492End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Atlanta’s August 3 high will likely fall in the mid-80s, with 86–87 °F holding a narrow edge in trader consensus. Key drivers include modest surface heating under partly cloudy skies, elevated dew points near 70 °F that limit diurnal temperature rise, and scattered afternoon convection capable of trimming peak readings by 1–3 °F depending on timing and coverage. Historical climatology places early-August Atlanta maxima near 88 °F, yet recent model trends show slightly cooler steering flow and higher cloud fraction than seasonal norms. This tight clustering of probable outcomes—84–85 °F versus 86–87 °F versus 88–89 °F—explains the closely matched market probabilities, with new 00Z and 12Z runs expected to refine the exact ceiling before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions