Traders see the highest temperature in Chongqing on July 23 clustering near 38–40 °C because short-range models show a hot, humid subtropical airmass with limited cloud cover and weak steering flow under regional high pressure. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island effect amplify daytime heating, while variable afternoon convection or slight changes in moisture advection can trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration currently favors an upper-30s outcome, yet ensemble spreads and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm activity keep 39 °C, 38 °C, and 40 °C nearly tied, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty only days ahead of the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 23?
40°C 38%
39°C 33%
41°C 16%
38°C 13%
35°C or below
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
13%
39°C
33%
40°C
38%
41°C
16%
42°C
2%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
40°C 38%
39°C 33%
41°C 16%
38°C 13%
35°C or below
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
13%
39°C
33%
40°C
38%
41°C
16%
42°C
2%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Chongqing on July 23 clustering near 38–40 °C because short-range models show a hot, humid subtropical airmass with limited cloud cover and weak steering flow under regional high pressure. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island effect amplify daytime heating, while variable afternoon convection or slight changes in moisture advection can trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration currently favors an upper-30s outcome, yet ensemble spreads and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm activity keep 39 °C, 38 °C, and 40 °C nearly tied, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty only days ahead of the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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