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icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?

Ended: Aug 18

Sep 22

Sep 23

Sep 24

Ended: Aug 18

Sep 22

Sep 23

Sep 24

32°C 100.0%

26°C or below <1%

27°C <1%

28°C <1%

Polymarket

$251,176 Vol.

32°C 100.0%

26°C or below <1%

27°C <1%

28°C <1%

Polymarket

$251,176 Vol.

26°C or below

$2,852 Vol.

No

27°C

$981 Vol.

No

28°C

$3,916 Vol.

No

29°C

$26,811 Vol.

No

30°C

$83,851 Vol.

No

31°C

$37,753 Vol.

No

32°C

$39,053 Vol.

Yes

33°C

$31,997 Vol.

No

34°C

$9,149 Vol.

No

35°C

$6,716 Vol.

No

36°C or higher

$8,098 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C on August 18, aligning with regional forecast models showing highs in the 28–33°C range amid typical summer conditions. This matches long-term August climatology, where average maxima hover near 32°C, and recent subsidence or light wind patterns supported stable heat without significant cooling from rainfall or cloud cover. Traders' 100% consensus reflects verified observational records rather than projections, with the market resolving on the Observatory's headquarters reading as the authoritative benchmark. Unlikely challenges include post-publication data corrections from sensor issues or alternative station maxima exceeding the threshold, though historical consistency makes such revisions rare.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$251,176
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C on August 18, aligning with regional forecast models showing highs in the 28–33°C range amid typical summer conditions. This matches long-term August climatology, where average maxima hover near 32°C, and recent subsidence or light wind patterns supported stable heat without significant cooling from rainfall or cloud cover. Traders' 100% consensus reflects verified observational records rather than projections, with the market resolving on the Observatory's headquarters reading as the authoritative benchmark. Unlikely challenges include post-publication data corrections from sensor issues or alternative station maxima exceeding the threshold, though historical consistency makes such revisions rare.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$251,176
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "32°C" at 100%, followed by "26°C or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?" has generated $251.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?" is "32°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "26°C or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.