Recent model consensus from global forecasts points to a typical late-September pattern over the Red Sea coast, with Jeddah's daily maximum likely settling between 34–37 °C on the 24th. Light westerly sea breezes, high humidity near 60–70 %, and minimal cloud cover are expected to limit extreme heating while preventing sharp cooling, creating tight clustering around the 35–37 °C thresholds. Stable high pressure and the absence of significant synoptic disturbances have kept recent observed highs near 34–36 °C, supporting the balanced market-implied odds. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak, as small shifts in wind speed or afternoon convection could tip the outcome among the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 24?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 24?
35°C 39%
37°C 26%
36°C 23%
33°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
21%
34°C
14%
35°C
27%
36°C
23%
37°C
26%
38°C
12%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
37°C 26%
36°C 23%
33°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
21%
34°C
$20 Vol.
14%
35°C
$5 Vol.
27%
36°C
$0 Vol.
23%
37°C
$0 Vol.
26%
38°C
$0 Vol.
12%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global forecasts points to a typical late-September pattern over the Red Sea coast, with Jeddah's daily maximum likely settling between 34–37 °C on the 24th. Light westerly sea breezes, high humidity near 60–70 %, and minimal cloud cover are expected to limit extreme heating while preventing sharp cooling, creating tight clustering around the 35–37 °C thresholds. Stable high pressure and the absence of significant synoptic disturbances have kept recent observed highs near 34–36 °C, supporting the balanced market-implied odds. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak, as small shifts in wind speed or afternoon convection could tip the outcome among the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$55End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global forecasts points to a typical late-September pattern over the Red Sea coast, with Jeddah's daily maximum likely settling between 34–37 °C on the 24th. Light westerly sea breezes, high humidity near 60–70 %, and minimal cloud cover are expected to limit extreme heating while preventing sharp cooling, creating tight clustering around the 35–37 °C thresholds. Stable high pressure and the absence of significant synoptic disturbances have kept recent observed highs near 34–36 °C, supporting the balanced market-implied odds. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak, as small shifts in wind speed or afternoon convection could tip the outcome among the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from global forecasts points to a typical late-September pattern over the Red Sea coast, with Jeddah's daily maximum likely settling between 34–37 °C on the 24th. Light westerly sea breezes, high humidity near 60–70 %, and minimal cloud cover are expected to limit extreme heating while preventing sharp cooling, creating tight clustering around the 35–37 °C thresholds. Stable high pressure and the absence of significant synoptic disturbances have kept recent observed highs near 34–36 °C, supporting the balanced market-implied odds. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak, as small shifts in wind speed or afternoon convection could tip the outcome among the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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