**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C or higher for Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 23, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** This positioning rests on robust meteorological evidence: late-August climatology in Shandong province shows average daily highs near 30–32°C, with model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles projecting 31–35°C under continued warm, humid summer flow. Recent observations confirm persistent above-normal temperatures across eastern China, with no incoming cold front or significant cooling indicated within the 24-hour forecast window. Historical extremes rarely dip below 26°C this time of year absent rare synoptic disruptions. The slim odds on lower thresholds reflect realistic but low-probability model divergence or an unexpected rapid weather shift that current guidance does not support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 23?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 23?
26°C or higher 96%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
16°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
96%
26°C or higher 96%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
16°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
$79 Vol.
1%
17°C
$79 Vol.
1%
18°C
$79 Vol.
1%
19°C
$79 Vol.
1%
20°C
$79 Vol.
1%
21°C
$79 Vol.
1%
22°C
$79 Vol.
1%
23°C
$79 Vol.
1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
3%
25°C
$5 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$346 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C or higher for Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 23, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** This positioning rests on robust meteorological evidence: late-August climatology in Shandong province shows average daily highs near 30–32°C, with model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles projecting 31–35°C under continued warm, humid summer flow. Recent observations confirm persistent above-normal temperatures across eastern China, with no incoming cold front or significant cooling indicated within the 24-hour forecast window. Historical extremes rarely dip below 26°C this time of year absent rare synoptic disruptions. The slim odds on lower thresholds reflect realistic but low-probability model divergence or an unexpected rapid weather shift that current guidance does not support.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$989End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C or higher for Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 23, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** This positioning rests on robust meteorological evidence: late-August climatology in Shandong province shows average daily highs near 30–32°C, with model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles projecting 31–35°C under continued warm, humid summer flow. Recent observations confirm persistent above-normal temperatures across eastern China, with no incoming cold front or significant cooling indicated within the 24-hour forecast window. Historical extremes rarely dip below 26°C this time of year absent rare synoptic disruptions. The slim odds on lower thresholds reflect realistic but low-probability model divergence or an unexpected rapid weather shift that current guidance does not support.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$989End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C or higher for Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 23, 2026, at 95.5% implied probability.** This positioning rests on robust meteorological evidence: late-August climatology in Shandong province shows average daily highs near 30–32°C, with model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles projecting 31–35°C under continued warm, humid summer flow. Recent observations confirm persistent above-normal temperatures across eastern China, with no incoming cold front or significant cooling indicated within the 24-hour forecast window. Historical extremes rarely dip below 26°C this time of year absent rare synoptic disruptions. The slim odds on lower thresholds reflect realistic but low-probability model divergence or an unexpected rapid weather shift that current guidance does not support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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