Current forecast models for Moscow show a maximum temperature likely near 19–21°C on June 20, consistent with long-term June averages of roughly 22°C highs but moderated by recent cooler, stable conditions across central Russia. Numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate limited diurnal warming under variable cloud cover and light winds, with no strong high-pressure ridge to drive higher readings. This scientific outlook underpins the market’s heaviest trading around 19°C, while probabilities taper for 22°C or above due to the absence of anomalous heat advection. Updated model runs from major centers over the next 48 hours will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 20?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 20?
19°C 36%
20°C 22%
21°C 20%
18°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jun 20, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
9%
18°C
11%
19°C
36%
20°C
22%
21°C
20%
22°C
9%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 36%
20°C 22%
21°C 20%
18°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jun 20, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$50 Vol.
1%
16°C
$398 Vol.
7%
17°C
$0 Vol.
9%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$29 Vol.
36%
20°C
$1 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Moscow show a maximum temperature likely near 19–21°C on June 20, consistent with long-term June averages of roughly 22°C highs but moderated by recent cooler, stable conditions across central Russia. Numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate limited diurnal warming under variable cloud cover and light winds, with no strong high-pressure ridge to drive higher readings. This scientific outlook underpins the market’s heaviest trading around 19°C, while probabilities taper for 22°C or above due to the absence of anomalous heat advection. Updated model runs from major centers over the next 48 hours will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 18, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$483End Date
Jun 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Moscow show a maximum temperature likely near 19–21°C on June 20, consistent with long-term June averages of roughly 22°C highs but moderated by recent cooler, stable conditions across central Russia. Numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate limited diurnal warming under variable cloud cover and light winds, with no strong high-pressure ridge to drive higher readings. This scientific outlook underpins the market’s heaviest trading around 19°C, while probabilities taper for 22°C or above due to the absence of anomalous heat advection. Updated model runs from major centers over the next 48 hours will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$483End Date
Jun 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Moscow show a maximum temperature likely near 19–21°C on June 20, consistent with long-term June averages of roughly 22°C highs but moderated by recent cooler, stable conditions across central Russia. Numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate limited diurnal warming under variable cloud cover and light winds, with no strong high-pressure ridge to drive higher readings. This scientific outlook underpins the market’s heaviest trading around 19°C, while probabilities taper for 22°C or above due to the absence of anomalous heat advection. Updated model runs from major centers over the next 48 hours will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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