Recent forecasts from regional models indicate Panama City’s June 12 high will likely reach 32–34 °C amid typical early-wet-season conditions, with scattered convection and cloud cover limiting extreme heating. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 33 °C and 34 °C reflects uncertainty in the exact timing and coverage of afternoon showers versus periods of stronger insolation under the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Historical climatology shows June maxima averaging near 30 °C, but recent days with reduced rainfall have produced brief spikes above 33 °C, supporting the modest premium on the upper end of that range. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and next model runs will clarify whether any organized disturbance suppresses or enhances peak temperatures before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on June 12?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 12?
34°C 33%
33°C 28%
32°C 20%
35°C 13.5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
20%
33°C
28%
34°C
33%
35°C
14%
36°C
9%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 33%
33°C 28%
32°C 20%
35°C 13.5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
28°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$150 Vol.
1%
30°C
$191 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
9%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33°C
$76 Vol.
28%
34°C
$0 Vol.
33%
35°C
$5 Vol.
14%
36°C
$5 Vol.
9%
37°C
$53 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$294 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models indicate Panama City’s June 12 high will likely reach 32–34 °C amid typical early-wet-season conditions, with scattered convection and cloud cover limiting extreme heating. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 33 °C and 34 °C reflects uncertainty in the exact timing and coverage of afternoon showers versus periods of stronger insolation under the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Historical climatology shows June maxima averaging near 30 °C, but recent days with reduced rainfall have produced brief spikes above 33 °C, supporting the modest premium on the upper end of that range. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and next model runs will clarify whether any organized disturbance suppresses or enhances peak temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Volume
$751End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models indicate Panama City’s June 12 high will likely reach 32–34 °C amid typical early-wet-season conditions, with scattered convection and cloud cover limiting extreme heating. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 33 °C and 34 °C reflects uncertainty in the exact timing and coverage of afternoon showers versus periods of stronger insolation under the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Historical climatology shows June maxima averaging near 30 °C, but recent days with reduced rainfall have produced brief spikes above 33 °C, supporting the modest premium on the upper end of that range. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and next model runs will clarify whether any organized disturbance suppresses or enhances peak temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$751End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models indicate Panama City’s June 12 high will likely reach 32–34 °C amid typical early-wet-season conditions, with scattered convection and cloud cover limiting extreme heating. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 33 °C and 34 °C reflects uncertainty in the exact timing and coverage of afternoon showers versus periods of stronger insolation under the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Historical climatology shows June maxima averaging near 30 °C, but recent days with reduced rainfall have produced brief spikes above 33 °C, supporting the modest premium on the upper end of that range. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and next model runs will clarify whether any organized disturbance suppresses or enhances peak temperatures before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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