Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate daytime highs clustering in the low 30s Celsius for Shanghai on June 12, 2026, driven by above-normal surface temperatures across eastern China amid early-summer conditions. Modest uncertainty arises from variables including atmospheric moisture levels, potential convective cloud development, and subtle steering wind shifts that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C, consistent with the broad market distribution favoring 30–32°C outcomes. Historical June baselines near 29°C provide context, yet recent warmer-than-average conditions have shifted trader consensus toward these values. Fresh satellite and surface observations ahead of resolution, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, will refine the picture before the official Pudong station reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月12日上海气温最高？
6月12日上海气温最高？
31°C 36%
30°C 24%
32°C 23%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-12
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
24%
31°C
36%
32°C
23%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 24%
32°C 23%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-12
25°C or below
$454 交易量
<1%
26°C
$279 交易量
<1%
27°C
$477 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,439 交易量
2%
29°C
$928 交易量
10%
30°C
$415 交易量
24%
31°C
$835 交易量
36%
32°C
$792 交易量
23%
33°C
$1,918 交易量
7%
34°C
$967 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$460 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate daytime highs clustering in the low 30s Celsius for Shanghai on June 12, 2026, driven by above-normal surface temperatures across eastern China amid early-summer conditions. Modest uncertainty arises from variables including atmospheric moisture levels, potential convective cloud development, and subtle steering wind shifts that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C, consistent with the broad market distribution favoring 30–32°C outcomes. Historical June baselines near 29°C provide context, yet recent warmer-than-average conditions have shifted trader consensus toward these values. Fresh satellite and surface observations ahead of resolution, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, will refine the picture before the official Pudong station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$8,865结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate daytime highs clustering in the low 30s Celsius for Shanghai on June 12, 2026, driven by above-normal surface temperatures across eastern China amid early-summer conditions. Modest uncertainty arises from variables including atmospheric moisture levels, potential convective cloud development, and subtle steering wind shifts that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C, consistent with the broad market distribution favoring 30–32°C outcomes. Historical June baselines near 29°C provide context, yet recent warmer-than-average conditions have shifted trader consensus toward these values. Fresh satellite and surface observations ahead of resolution, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, will refine the picture before the official Pudong station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,865结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate daytime highs clustering in the low 30s Celsius for Shanghai on June 12, 2026, driven by above-normal surface temperatures across eastern China amid early-summer conditions. Modest uncertainty arises from variables including atmospheric moisture levels, potential convective cloud development, and subtle steering wind shifts that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C, consistent with the broad market distribution favoring 30–32°C outcomes. Historical June baselines near 29°C provide context, yet recent warmer-than-average conditions have shifted trader consensus toward these values. Fresh satellite and surface observations ahead of resolution, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, will refine the picture before the official Pudong station reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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