Recent numerical weather prediction models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles show Taipei poised for peak afternoon temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius on July 20, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and urban heat retention under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. This positions 35–36°C as the market-implied frontrunners, reflecting the narrow spread between typical July climatology (near 33°C) and days when reduced cloud cover or delayed thunderstorms allow readings to climb 2–3°C higher. Key differentiating factors include exact timing of sea-breeze onset, precipitable water content modulating insolation, and boundary-layer mixing; fresher model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on July 20?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 20?
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$61,381 Vol.
$61,381 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$61,381 Vol.
$61,381 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
28°C or below
$706 Vol.
No
29°C
$704 Vol.
No
30°C
$771 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,115 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,715 Vol.
No
33°C
$13,608 Vol.
No
34°C
$8,037 Vol.
No
35°C
$7,688 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$7,711 Vol.
No
37°C
$6,161 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$5,165 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles show Taipei poised for peak afternoon temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius on July 20, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and urban heat retention under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. This positions 35–36°C as the market-implied frontrunners, reflecting the narrow spread between typical July climatology (near 33°C) and days when reduced cloud cover or delayed thunderstorms allow readings to climb 2–3°C higher. Key differentiating factors include exact timing of sea-breeze onset, precipitable water content modulating insolation, and boundary-layer mixing; fresher model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$61,381End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles show Taipei poised for peak afternoon temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius on July 20, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and urban heat retention under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. This positions 35–36°C as the market-implied frontrunners, reflecting the narrow spread between typical July climatology (near 33°C) and days when reduced cloud cover or delayed thunderstorms allow readings to climb 2–3°C higher. Key differentiating factors include exact timing of sea-breeze onset, precipitable water content modulating insolation, and boundary-layer mixing; fresher model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,381End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent numerical weather prediction models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles show Taipei poised for peak afternoon temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius on July 20, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and urban heat retention under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. This positions 35–36°C as the market-implied frontrunners, reflecting the narrow spread between typical July climatology (near 33°C) and days when reduced cloud cover or delayed thunderstorms allow readings to climb 2–3°C higher. Key differentiating factors include exact timing of sea-breeze onset, precipitable water content modulating insolation, and boundary-layer mixing; fresher model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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