Trader consensus places 32°C and 33°C in a near-tie at 43.5% and 52.5% implied probability, underscoring tight uncertainty in the 48-hour forecast window for Tel Aviv. Recent ensemble guidance from global models shows a persistent subtropical ridge supporting above-normal maxima, with modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures. Late-August climatology centers near 31–32°C, so the slight warm bias hinges on whether daytime heating overcomes the moderating sea breeze. The next model cycle and official Israel Meteorological Service update are the key catalysts that could shift the narrow gap between these two outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
33°C 53%
32°C 44%
34°C 6%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
44%
33°C
53%
34°C
6%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
3%
33°C 53%
32°C 44%
34°C 6%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
29°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
30°C
$10 Vol.
3%
31°C
$66 Vol.
3%
32°C
$152 Vol.
44%
33°C
$131 Vol.
53%
34°C
$44 Vol.
6%
35°C
$10 Vol.
5%
36°C
$10 Vol.
2%
37°C
$10 Vol.
4%
38°C
$5 Vol.
3%
39°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus places 32°C and 33°C in a near-tie at 43.5% and 52.5% implied probability, underscoring tight uncertainty in the 48-hour forecast window for Tel Aviv. Recent ensemble guidance from global models shows a persistent subtropical ridge supporting above-normal maxima, with modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures. Late-August climatology centers near 31–32°C, so the slight warm bias hinges on whether daytime heating overcomes the moderating sea breeze. The next model cycle and official Israel Meteorological Service update are the key catalysts that could shift the narrow gap between these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$453End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus places 32°C and 33°C in a near-tie at 43.5% and 52.5% implied probability, underscoring tight uncertainty in the 48-hour forecast window for Tel Aviv. Recent ensemble guidance from global models shows a persistent subtropical ridge supporting above-normal maxima, with modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures. Late-August climatology centers near 31–32°C, so the slight warm bias hinges on whether daytime heating overcomes the moderating sea breeze. The next model cycle and official Israel Meteorological Service update are the key catalysts that could shift the narrow gap between these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$453End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus places 32°C and 33°C in a near-tie at 43.5% and 52.5% implied probability, underscoring tight uncertainty in the 48-hour forecast window for Tel Aviv. Recent ensemble guidance from global models shows a persistent subtropical ridge supporting above-normal maxima, with modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures. Late-August climatology centers near 31–32°C, so the slight warm bias hinges on whether daytime heating overcomes the moderating sea breeze. The next model cycle and official Israel Meteorological Service update are the key catalysts that could shift the narrow gap between these two outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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