Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate Tel Aviv highs of 31–33°C on August 4, driven by persistent summer atmospheric patterns with light winds and moderate humidity along the Mediterranean coast moderating peak values. This aligns with climatological August averages near 30–32°C while recent regional observations show stable high-pressure influence without strong heat advection. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's concentration on 32–33°C outcomes, though small revisions in steering flows or coastal sea breezes could shift the maximum by 1°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution ahead of the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 4?
33°C 53%
32°C 32%
34°C 10%
37°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
30°C or below
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
32%
33°C
53%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
5%
38°C
<1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 32%
34°C 10%
37°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
30°C or below
$20 Vol.
3%
31°C
$17 Vol.
4%
32°C
$40 Vol.
32%
33°C
$173 Vol.
53%
34°C
$48 Vol.
10%
35°C
$36 Vol.
3%
36°C
$103 Vol.
2%
37°C
$20 Vol.
5%
38°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$11 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate Tel Aviv highs of 31–33°C on August 4, driven by persistent summer atmospheric patterns with light winds and moderate humidity along the Mediterranean coast moderating peak values. This aligns with climatological August averages near 30–32°C while recent regional observations show stable high-pressure influence without strong heat advection. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's concentration on 32–33°C outcomes, though small revisions in steering flows or coastal sea breezes could shift the maximum by 1°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$529End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate Tel Aviv highs of 31–33°C on August 4, driven by persistent summer atmospheric patterns with light winds and moderate humidity along the Mediterranean coast moderating peak values. This aligns with climatological August averages near 30–32°C while recent regional observations show stable high-pressure influence without strong heat advection. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's concentration on 32–33°C outcomes, though small revisions in steering flows or coastal sea breezes could shift the maximum by 1°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$529End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate Tel Aviv highs of 31–33°C on August 4, driven by persistent summer atmospheric patterns with light winds and moderate humidity along the Mediterranean coast moderating peak values. This aligns with climatological August averages near 30–32°C while recent regional observations show stable high-pressure influence without strong heat advection. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's concentration on 32–33°C outcomes, though small revisions in steering flows or coastal sea breezes could shift the maximum by 1°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution ahead of the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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