Forecast consensus from agencies including AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC centers on a 24–26°C daily maximum for Zhengzhou on August 12, driven by a persistent low-pressure system delivering widespread cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity that sharply limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Model runs consistently project northeasterly flow and flash-flood conditions that further suppress afternoon peaks well below the month’s climatological average near 30–32°C. The 97% market-implied probability on 25°C reflects this tight clustering of official guidance and real-time observational trends. A rapid early-day clearing or unexpected model shift allowing greater insolation could push readings to 26–27°C, though current ensemble agreement makes such divergence unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 12?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 12?
25°C 98%
26°C 1.0%
29°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
NEW
$12,197 Vol.
NEW
$12,197 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
98%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
25°C 98%
26°C 1.0%
29°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
NEW
$12,197 Vol.
NEW
$12,197 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
22°C or below
$961 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,411 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,526 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$973 Vol.
98%
26°C
$294 Vol.
1%
27°C
$659 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$721 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,473 Vol.
1%
30°C
$680 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$635 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$893 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from agencies including AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC centers on a 24–26°C daily maximum for Zhengzhou on August 12, driven by a persistent low-pressure system delivering widespread cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity that sharply limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Model runs consistently project northeasterly flow and flash-flood conditions that further suppress afternoon peaks well below the month’s climatological average near 30–32°C. The 97% market-implied probability on 25°C reflects this tight clustering of official guidance and real-time observational trends. A rapid early-day clearing or unexpected model shift allowing greater insolation could push readings to 26–27°C, though current ensemble agreement makes such divergence unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$12,197End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from agencies including AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC centers on a 24–26°C daily maximum for Zhengzhou on August 12, driven by a persistent low-pressure system delivering widespread cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity that sharply limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Model runs consistently project northeasterly flow and flash-flood conditions that further suppress afternoon peaks well below the month’s climatological average near 30–32°C. The 97% market-implied probability on 25°C reflects this tight clustering of official guidance and real-time observational trends. A rapid early-day clearing or unexpected model shift allowing greater insolation could push readings to 26–27°C, though current ensemble agreement makes such divergence unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,197End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from agencies including AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC centers on a 24–26°C daily maximum for Zhengzhou on August 12, driven by a persistent low-pressure system delivering widespread cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity that sharply limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Model runs consistently project northeasterly flow and flash-flood conditions that further suppress afternoon peaks well below the month’s climatological average near 30–32°C. The 97% market-implied probability on 25°C reflects this tight clustering of official guidance and real-time observational trends. A rapid early-day clearing or unexpected model shift allowing greater insolation could push readings to 26–27°C, though current ensemble agreement makes such divergence unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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