Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 33°C for Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and light northeasterly flow after a period of scattered showers earlier in the week. This setup favors daytime heating in the North China Plain during late summer, when climatological highs often reach 31–34°C. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on maximum temperatures, supporting the market's 80% implied probability for 32°C or higher while allowing modest uncertainty from potential isolated convection or measurement timing. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 23?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 23?
32°C or higher 81%
31°C 13%
29°C 7%
30°C 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
81%
32°C or higher 81%
31°C 13%
29°C 7%
30°C 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
$305 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,280 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,063 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$32 Vol.
7%
30°C
$968 Vol.
1%
31°C
$15 Vol.
13%
32°C or higher
$124 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 33°C for Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and light northeasterly flow after a period of scattered showers earlier in the week. This setup favors daytime heating in the North China Plain during late summer, when climatological highs often reach 31–34°C. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on maximum temperatures, supporting the market's 80% implied probability for 32°C or higher while allowing modest uncertainty from potential isolated convection or measurement timing. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,782End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 33°C for Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and light northeasterly flow after a period of scattered showers earlier in the week. This setup favors daytime heating in the North China Plain during late summer, when climatological highs often reach 31–34°C. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on maximum temperatures, supporting the market's 80% implied probability for 32°C or higher while allowing modest uncertainty from potential isolated convection or measurement timing. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,782End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 33°C for Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and light northeasterly flow after a period of scattered showers earlier in the week. This setup favors daytime heating in the North China Plain during late summer, when climatological highs often reach 31–34°C. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on maximum temperatures, supporting the market's 80% implied probability for 32°C or higher while allowing modest uncertainty from potential isolated convection or measurement timing. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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