**Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological reports consistently project an overnight low of 24–26°C for Zhengzhou on August 23, 2026, driven by typical late-summer conditions: high humidity (80–90%), partly cloudy to overcast skies, and scattered showers or thunderstorms associated with regional moisture patterns.** These factors suppress nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping heat near the surface and reducing the temperature drop after daytime highs near 31–33°C. Subtropical high influence and lack of a strong cold front keep the air mass warm, with dew points remaining elevated around 24–26°C. Minor model differences in cloud cover and precipitation timing create the tight contest between a minimum of 25°C or higher versus slightly lower values, while the remote 15°C-or-below outcome reflects negligible probability under current steering patterns. Updated short-range guidance and any last-minute changes in cloud thickness or rainfall timing will be the key near-term drivers of refined expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 23?
15°C or below 94%
25°C or higher 50%
22°C 37%
16°C 36%
15°C or below
94%
16°C
36%
17°C
36%
18°C
36%
19°C
36%
20°C
36%
21°C
36%
22°C
37%
23°C
19%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
50%
15°C or below 94%
25°C or higher 50%
22°C 37%
16°C 36%
15°C or below
94%
16°C
36%
17°C
36%
18°C
36%
19°C
36%
20°C
36%
21°C
36%
22°C
37%
23°C
19%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological reports consistently project an overnight low of 24–26°C for Zhengzhou on August 23, 2026, driven by typical late-summer conditions: high humidity (80–90%), partly cloudy to overcast skies, and scattered showers or thunderstorms associated with regional moisture patterns.** These factors suppress nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping heat near the surface and reducing the temperature drop after daytime highs near 31–33°C. Subtropical high influence and lack of a strong cold front keep the air mass warm, with dew points remaining elevated around 24–26°C. Minor model differences in cloud cover and precipitation timing create the tight contest between a minimum of 25°C or higher versus slightly lower values, while the remote 15°C-or-below outcome reflects negligible probability under current steering patterns. Updated short-range guidance and any last-minute changes in cloud thickness or rainfall timing will be the key near-term drivers of refined expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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