Minnesota's eight congressional districts feature entrenched partisan leans, with Democrats holding four seats rated solid or likely Democratic by nonpartisan trackers and Republicans holding the other four on similar footing. The open Democratic seat in the 2nd District, vacated by Angie Craig's Senate bid, appears headed for a party hold, while the Republican-held 1st District offers Democrats only a long-shot pickup opportunity. With primaries completed and the general election a month away, limited district-level polling and fundraising data have produced few shifts, aligning trader consensus around a stable four Democratic seats. National midterm dynamics favoring Democrats have lifted the probability of a fifth seat modestly but have not altered the structural barriers in the remaining races.