Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, maintains a verified X account but issues most public statements through official written messages on Telegram, his website, and state channels rather than frequent platform posts. Recent activity centers on targeted releases, such as the August 30 call for Muslim unity against external adversaries and the early September message marking Government Week that stressed national cohesion amid sanctions and post-conflict recovery. These patterns reflect a preference for controlled, event-driven communications over daily social media engagement, especially given limited public appearances since prior injuries. With no major scheduled religious or political observances immediately ahead in the September 4–11 window, trader consensus assigns an 84.5% implied probability to fewer than five posts, consistent with historical low-volume weeks for this account.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?
Khamenei # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?
<5 85%
5-9 9%
10-14 7.0%
20-24 5.6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<5
85%
5-9
9%
10-14
7%
15-19
2%
20-24
6%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
4%
55-59
5%
60+
4%
<5 85%
5-9 9%
10-14 7.0%
20-24 5.6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<5
$114 Vol.
85%
5-9
$42 Vol.
9%
10-14
$34 Vol.
7%
15-19
$42 Vol.
2%
20-24
$58 Vol.
6%
25-29
$42 Vol.
1%
30-34
$42 Vol.
1%
35-39
$111 Vol.
2%
40-44
$42 Vol.
1%
45-49
$42 Vol.
1%
50-54
$34 Vol.
4%
55-59
$34 Vol.
5%
60+
$34 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, maintains a verified X account but issues most public statements through official written messages on Telegram, his website, and state channels rather than frequent platform posts. Recent activity centers on targeted releases, such as the August 30 call for Muslim unity against external adversaries and the early September message marking Government Week that stressed national cohesion amid sanctions and post-conflict recovery. These patterns reflect a preference for controlled, event-driven communications over daily social media engagement, especially given limited public appearances since prior injuries. With no major scheduled religious or political observances immediately ahead in the September 4–11 window, trader consensus assigns an 84.5% implied probability to fewer than five posts, consistent with historical low-volume weeks for this account.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$670End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, maintains a verified X account but issues most public statements through official written messages on Telegram, his website, and state channels rather than frequent platform posts. Recent activity centers on targeted releases, such as the August 30 call for Muslim unity against external adversaries and the early September message marking Government Week that stressed national cohesion amid sanctions and post-conflict recovery. These patterns reflect a preference for controlled, event-driven communications over daily social media engagement, especially given limited public appearances since prior injuries. With no major scheduled religious or political observances immediately ahead in the September 4–11 window, trader consensus assigns an 84.5% implied probability to fewer than five posts, consistent with historical low-volume weeks for this account.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$670End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, maintains a verified X account but issues most public statements through official written messages on Telegram, his website, and state channels rather than frequent platform posts. Recent activity centers on targeted releases, such as the August 30 call for Muslim unity against external adversaries and the early September message marking Government Week that stressed national cohesion amid sanctions and post-conflict recovery. These patterns reflect a preference for controlled, event-driven communications over daily social media engagement, especially given limited public appearances since prior injuries. With no major scheduled religious or political observances immediately ahead in the September 4–11 window, trader consensus assigns an 84.5% implied probability to fewer than five posts, consistent with historical low-volume weeks for this account.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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