**Trader sentiment for Beijing's September 2 low temperature centers on the narrow spread between 17–18°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus around seasonal norms with minor cooling potential.** Early September marks Beijing's shift from summer monsoon influence to drier autumn conditions, where clear skies enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and allow lows to dip toward or below the 19°C historical average. Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate highs near 28–31°C and overnight lows of 19–21°C under light winds and limited cloud cover, though slight variations in steering patterns or humidity could push minima to 17–18°C. With resolution just days away, traders weigh the latest numerical weather prediction runs and any short-term updates from monitoring agencies, noting that even modest increases in cloud cover or wind could moderate cooling while persistent clear conditions favor the lower end of the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 2?
13°C or below 60%
17°C 49%
23°C or higher 46%
18°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
13°C or below
60%
14°C
45%
15°C
24%
16°C
26%
17°C
49%
18°C
45%
19°C
37%
20°C
37%
21°C
8%
22°C
11%
23°C or higher
46%
13°C or below 60%
17°C 49%
23°C or higher 46%
18°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Vol.
60%
14°C
$0 Vol.
45%
15°C
$36 Vol.
24%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
45%
19°C
$0 Vol.
37%
20°C
$0 Vol.
37%
21°C
$20 Vol.
8%
22°C
$217 Vol.
11%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing's September 2 low temperature centers on the narrow spread between 17–18°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus around seasonal norms with minor cooling potential.** Early September marks Beijing's shift from summer monsoon influence to drier autumn conditions, where clear skies enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and allow lows to dip toward or below the 19°C historical average. Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate highs near 28–31°C and overnight lows of 19–21°C under light winds and limited cloud cover, though slight variations in steering patterns or humidity could push minima to 17–18°C. With resolution just days away, traders weigh the latest numerical weather prediction runs and any short-term updates from monitoring agencies, noting that even modest increases in cloud cover or wind could moderate cooling while persistent clear conditions favor the lower end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$283End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing's September 2 low temperature centers on the narrow spread between 17–18°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus around seasonal norms with minor cooling potential.** Early September marks Beijing's shift from summer monsoon influence to drier autumn conditions, where clear skies enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and allow lows to dip toward or below the 19°C historical average. Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate highs near 28–31°C and overnight lows of 19–21°C under light winds and limited cloud cover, though slight variations in steering patterns or humidity could push minima to 17–18°C. With resolution just days away, traders weigh the latest numerical weather prediction runs and any short-term updates from monitoring agencies, noting that even modest increases in cloud cover or wind could moderate cooling while persistent clear conditions favor the lower end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$283End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Beijing's September 2 low temperature centers on the narrow spread between 17–18°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus around seasonal norms with minor cooling potential.** Early September marks Beijing's shift from summer monsoon influence to drier autumn conditions, where clear skies enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and allow lows to dip toward or below the 19°C historical average. Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate highs near 28–31°C and overnight lows of 19–21°C under light winds and limited cloud cover, though slight variations in steering patterns or humidity could push minima to 17–18°C. With resolution just days away, traders weigh the latest numerical weather prediction runs and any short-term updates from monitoring agencies, noting that even modest increases in cloud cover or wind could moderate cooling while persistent clear conditions favor the lower end of the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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