Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicates moderate nocturnal cooling in Busan driven by persistent northeasterly winds and clearing skies after an exceptionally warm summer, with forecast overnight minima clustering near 20–22°C for September 9. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models create uncertainty around the precise minimum, as stronger winds could enhance mixing and limit radiative cooling while any increased cloud cover would retain heat. Coastal sea-breeze effects and the exact timing of high-pressure building further differentiate outcomes between sub-18°C readings and those above 24°C. Traders are monitoring the next KMA update and refined model runs for resolution signals ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on September 9?
16°C or below 69%
26°C or higher 69%
20°C 50%
22°C 49%
16°C or below
69%
17°C
39%
18°C
47%
19°C
48%
20°C
50%
21°C
26%
22°C
49%
23°C
47%
24°C
48%
25°C
39%
26°C or higher
69%
16°C or below 69%
26°C or higher 69%
20°C 50%
22°C 49%
16°C or below
69%
17°C
39%
18°C
47%
19°C
48%
20°C
50%
21°C
26%
22°C
49%
23°C
47%
24°C
48%
25°C
39%
26°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicates moderate nocturnal cooling in Busan driven by persistent northeasterly winds and clearing skies after an exceptionally warm summer, with forecast overnight minima clustering near 20–22°C for September 9. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models create uncertainty around the precise minimum, as stronger winds could enhance mixing and limit radiative cooling while any increased cloud cover would retain heat. Coastal sea-breeze effects and the exact timing of high-pressure building further differentiate outcomes between sub-18°C readings and those above 24°C. Traders are monitoring the next KMA update and refined model runs for resolution signals ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions