**Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 21 centers on 23–25°C amid closely matched market-implied probabilities.** Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory indicate a daytime range of roughly 21–37°C with scattered showers or thunderstorms, pointing to overnight minima moderated by cloud cover and high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate. Recent days have seen minimums near 26°C under partly cloudy conditions with localized heavy rain, which can suppress radiative cooling and keep nighttime temperatures elevated compared to clearer historical baselines around 25°C. Model differences arise from variable precipitation timing, urban heat island effects in the city center, and wind patterns that influence boundary-layer mixing. New observational data from surface stations will resolve the exact daily minimum, with traders weighting official reports over model spreads given the narrow outcome band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 21?
21°C or below 52%
25°C 52%
24°C 49%
22°C 37%
21°C or below
52%
22°C
37%
23°C
-
24°C
49%
25°C
52%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 52%
25°C 52%
24°C 49%
22°C 37%
21°C or below
52%
22°C
37%
23°C
-
24°C
49%
25°C
52%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 21 centers on 23–25°C amid closely matched market-implied probabilities.** Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory indicate a daytime range of roughly 21–37°C with scattered showers or thunderstorms, pointing to overnight minima moderated by cloud cover and high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate. Recent days have seen minimums near 26°C under partly cloudy conditions with localized heavy rain, which can suppress radiative cooling and keep nighttime temperatures elevated compared to clearer historical baselines around 25°C. Model differences arise from variable precipitation timing, urban heat island effects in the city center, and wind patterns that influence boundary-layer mixing. New observational data from surface stations will resolve the exact daily minimum, with traders weighting official reports over model spreads given the narrow outcome band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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