Recent forecasts for Dallas show persistent hot conditions with overnight lows typically near 80–85°F amid a strong high-pressure ridge, yet a noted tropical storm threat for August 23–25 introduces key uncertainty by potentially increasing cloud cover, humidity, and rainfall that enhance nocturnal cooling or suppress it depending on timing and intensity. This dynamic drives the near-even split between the 79°F-or-below outcome (45.5%) and hotter brackets, as models diverge on steering patterns and moisture advection that determine minimum temperatures. Historical August baselines around 75–77°F provide context, but current southerly flow and limited rain chances keep higher-end possibilities viable until updated NHC and local guidance clarify the system's influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
98°F or higher 82%
79°F or below 46%
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
46%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
5%
98°F or higher
82%
98°F or higher 82%
79°F or below 46%
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
$0 Vol.
46%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
14%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
27%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
27%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
25%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
10%
92-93°F
$5 Vol.
9%
94-95°F
$5 Vol.
12%
96-97°F
$5 Vol.
5%
98°F or higher
$10 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Dallas show persistent hot conditions with overnight lows typically near 80–85°F amid a strong high-pressure ridge, yet a noted tropical storm threat for August 23–25 introduces key uncertainty by potentially increasing cloud cover, humidity, and rainfall that enhance nocturnal cooling or suppress it depending on timing and intensity. This dynamic drives the near-even split between the 79°F-or-below outcome (45.5%) and hotter brackets, as models diverge on steering patterns and moisture advection that determine minimum temperatures. Historical August baselines around 75–77°F provide context, but current southerly flow and limited rain chances keep higher-end possibilities viable until updated NHC and local guidance clarify the system's influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Dallas show persistent hot conditions with overnight lows typically near 80–85°F amid a strong high-pressure ridge, yet a noted tropical storm threat for August 23–25 introduces key uncertainty by potentially increasing cloud cover, humidity, and rainfall that enhance nocturnal cooling or suppress it depending on timing and intensity. This dynamic drives the near-even split between the 79°F-or-below outcome (45.5%) and hotter brackets, as models diverge on steering patterns and moisture advection that determine minimum temperatures. Historical August baselines around 75–77°F provide context, but current southerly flow and limited rain chances keep higher-end possibilities viable until updated NHC and local guidance clarify the system's influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Dallas show persistent hot conditions with overnight lows typically near 80–85°F amid a strong high-pressure ridge, yet a noted tropical storm threat for August 23–25 introduces key uncertainty by potentially increasing cloud cover, humidity, and rainfall that enhance nocturnal cooling or suppress it depending on timing and intensity. This dynamic drives the near-even split between the 79°F-or-below outcome (45.5%) and hotter brackets, as models diverge on steering patterns and moisture advection that determine minimum temperatures. Historical August baselines around 75–77°F provide context, but current southerly flow and limited rain chances keep higher-end possibilities viable until updated NHC and local guidance clarify the system's influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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