Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models highlight persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rainfall over Guangzhou, which typically moderates overnight radiative cooling and supports daily minimum temperatures near 25–27°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 26°C, with recent observations of 27°C minima amid thunderstorms reinforcing this baseline. Model spread remains modest two days out, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly higher readings near 28–29°C. These dynamics underpin trader emphasis on the 32°C+ outcome at 43.5% implied probability alongside clustered support near 25–27°C, reflecting uncertainty in precise boundary-layer conditions ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
32°C or higher 86%
31°C 46%
23°C 43%
25°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
43%
24°C
23%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
23%
30°C
2%
31°C
46%
32°C or higher
86%
32°C or higher 86%
31°C 46%
23°C 43%
25°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$59 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
43%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
23%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$15 Vol.
46%
32°C or higher
$150 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models highlight persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rainfall over Guangzhou, which typically moderates overnight radiative cooling and supports daily minimum temperatures near 25–27°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 26°C, with recent observations of 27°C minima amid thunderstorms reinforcing this baseline. Model spread remains modest two days out, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly higher readings near 28–29°C. These dynamics underpin trader emphasis on the 32°C+ outcome at 43.5% implied probability alongside clustered support near 25–27°C, reflecting uncertainty in precise boundary-layer conditions ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$229End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models highlight persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rainfall over Guangzhou, which typically moderates overnight radiative cooling and supports daily minimum temperatures near 25–27°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 26°C, with recent observations of 27°C minima amid thunderstorms reinforcing this baseline. Model spread remains modest two days out, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly higher readings near 28–29°C. These dynamics underpin trader emphasis on the 32°C+ outcome at 43.5% implied probability alongside clustered support near 25–27°C, reflecting uncertainty in precise boundary-layer conditions ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$229End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models highlight persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rainfall over Guangzhou, which typically moderates overnight radiative cooling and supports daily minimum temperatures near 25–27°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 26°C, with recent observations of 27°C minima amid thunderstorms reinforcing this baseline. Model spread remains modest two days out, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly higher readings near 28–29°C. These dynamics underpin trader emphasis on the 32°C+ outcome at 43.5% implied probability alongside clustered support near 25–27°C, reflecting uncertainty in precise boundary-layer conditions ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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