Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on September 7 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, consistent with late-summer patterns where overnight lows typically range 25–27°C amid high humidity. Cloud cover and scattered rainfall from lingering tropical moisture can limit radiative cooling, keeping minima from dropping toward the 22–24°C thresholds priced at lower probabilities, while any clearer spells or stronger northeasterly flow could allow modest cooling. Broader seasonal context includes an emerging El Niño contributing to above-normal warmth overall, though short-term model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability in the minimum ahead of the market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
22°C or below 65%
32°C or higher 46%
29°C 36%
26°C 32%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
65%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C
32%
27°C
30%
28°C
15%
29°C
36%
30°C
22%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
46%
22°C or below 65%
32°C or higher 46%
29°C 36%
26°C 32%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
65%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$0 Vol.
36%
30°C
$0 Vol.
22%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on September 7 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, consistent with late-summer patterns where overnight lows typically range 25–27°C amid high humidity. Cloud cover and scattered rainfall from lingering tropical moisture can limit radiative cooling, keeping minima from dropping toward the 22–24°C thresholds priced at lower probabilities, while any clearer spells or stronger northeasterly flow could allow modest cooling. Broader seasonal context includes an emerging El Niño contributing to above-normal warmth overall, though short-term model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability in the minimum ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on September 7 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, consistent with late-summer patterns where overnight lows typically range 25–27°C amid high humidity. Cloud cover and scattered rainfall from lingering tropical moisture can limit radiative cooling, keeping minima from dropping toward the 22–24°C thresholds priced at lower probabilities, while any clearer spells or stronger northeasterly flow could allow modest cooling. Broader seasonal context includes an emerging El Niño contributing to above-normal warmth overall, though short-term model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability in the minimum ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on September 7 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, consistent with late-summer patterns where overnight lows typically range 25–27°C amid high humidity. Cloud cover and scattered rainfall from lingering tropical moisture can limit radiative cooling, keeping minima from dropping toward the 22–24°C thresholds priced at lower probabilities, while any clearer spells or stronger northeasterly flow could allow modest cooling. Broader seasonal context includes an emerging El Niño contributing to above-normal warmth overall, though short-term model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability in the minimum ahead of the market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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