Current numerical weather models for Jeddah indicate enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling on September 8 under light northerly winds and variable cloud cover, supporting forecast overnight lows in the 27–29°C range amid typical early-September humidity of 60–80%. This setup, combined with stable high-pressure influence limiting daytime heat buildup, underpins the market's leading 50% implied probability on 24°C or below while assigning secondary weight around 29–30°C. Historical September minima average near 27°C, with recent regional observations showing modest day-to-day variability from shifting Red Sea moisture patterns. Fresh model runs and National Center for Meteorology updates over the next 48 hours will clarify any further cooling potential before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 8?
30°C 50%
24°C or below 49%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
24°C or below
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
50%
31°C
49%
32°C
49%
33°C
49%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 50%
24°C or below 49%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
24°C or below
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
50%
31°C
49%
32°C
49%
33°C
49%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models for Jeddah indicate enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling on September 8 under light northerly winds and variable cloud cover, supporting forecast overnight lows in the 27–29°C range amid typical early-September humidity of 60–80%. This setup, combined with stable high-pressure influence limiting daytime heat buildup, underpins the market's leading 50% implied probability on 24°C or below while assigning secondary weight around 29–30°C. Historical September minima average near 27°C, with recent regional observations showing modest day-to-day variability from shifting Red Sea moisture patterns. Fresh model runs and National Center for Meteorology updates over the next 48 hours will clarify any further cooling potential before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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