**Forecast models from the Met Office, GFS, and other sources indicate a peak of 25–26°C in London on September 6, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight cooling while allowing daytime warming.** This aligns with the market's leading outcomes (26°C at 41.5%, 25°C at 30.5%), reflecting trader consensus on ensemble guidance showing highs near 24–27°C. Recent runs emphasize light south or southwesterly flow and low precipitation chances, supporting modest warmth typical for early September rather than an anomalous spike. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty around cloud cover and exact wind strength, keeping 27°C at 16.5% and cooler outcomes below 10%. Updated official briefings and new model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on September 6?
Highest temperature in London on September 6?
26°C 42%
25°C 31%
27°C 16%
24°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
31%
26°C
42%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 31%
27°C 16%
24°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
$218 Vol.
2%
23°C
$13 Vol.
3%
24°C
$63 Vol.
8%
25°C
$276 Vol.
31%
26°C
$175 Vol.
42%
27°C
$57 Vol.
16%
28°C
$25 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$80 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office, GFS, and other sources indicate a peak of 25–26°C in London on September 6, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight cooling while allowing daytime warming.**
This aligns with the market's leading outcomes (26°C at 41.5%, 25°C at 30.5%), reflecting trader consensus on ensemble guidance showing highs near 24–27°C. Recent runs emphasize light south or southwesterly flow and low precipitation chances, supporting modest warmth typical for early September rather than an anomalous spike. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty around cloud cover and exact wind strength, keeping 27°C at 16.5% and cooler outcomes below 10%. Updated official briefings and new model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$912End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office, GFS, and other sources indicate a peak of 25–26°C in London on September 6, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight cooling while allowing daytime warming.**
This aligns with the market's leading outcomes (26°C at 41.5%, 25°C at 30.5%), reflecting trader consensus on ensemble guidance showing highs near 24–27°C. Recent runs emphasize light south or southwesterly flow and low precipitation chances, supporting modest warmth typical for early September rather than an anomalous spike. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty around cloud cover and exact wind strength, keeping 27°C at 16.5% and cooler outcomes below 10%. Updated official briefings and new model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$912End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Met Office, GFS, and other sources indicate a peak of 25–26°C in London on September 6, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight cooling while allowing daytime warming.** This aligns with the market's leading outcomes (26°C at 41.5%, 25°C at 30.5%), reflecting trader consensus on ensemble guidance showing highs near 24–27°C. Recent runs emphasize light south or southwesterly flow and low precipitation chances, supporting modest warmth typical for early September rather than an anomalous spike. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty around cloud cover and exact wind strength, keeping 27°C at 16.5% and cooler outcomes below 10%. Updated official briefings and new model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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