Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate overnight lows in London on September 6 will likely reach 13–15°C under building high pressure, lighter southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling while drawing in mild Atlantic air. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 14°C and 15°C, reflecting typical early-September climatology where average lows hover near 12°C but current conditions suppress further drops. No significant cold advection or clear-sky extremes appear imminent, keeping probabilities for 12°C or below low. Traders will watch updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus Met Office briefings for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on September 6?
Lowest temperature in London on September 6?
15°C 36%
14°C 31%
11°C 19%
17°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
11%
11°C
19%
12°C
5%
13°C
15%
14°C
31%
15°C
36%
16°C
14%
17°C
18%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 36%
14°C 31%
11°C 19%
17°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
11%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C
$48 Vol.
5%
13°C
$37 Vol.
15%
14°C
$556 Vol.
31%
15°C
$38 Vol.
36%
16°C
$199 Vol.
14%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate overnight lows in London on September 6 will likely reach 13–15°C under building high pressure, lighter southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling while drawing in mild Atlantic air. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 14°C and 15°C, reflecting typical early-September climatology where average lows hover near 12°C but current conditions suppress further drops. No significant cold advection or clear-sky extremes appear imminent, keeping probabilities for 12°C or below low. Traders will watch updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus Met Office briefings for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$878End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate overnight lows in London on September 6 will likely reach 13–15°C under building high pressure, lighter southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling while drawing in mild Atlantic air. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 14°C and 15°C, reflecting typical early-September climatology where average lows hover near 12°C but current conditions suppress further drops. No significant cold advection or clear-sky extremes appear imminent, keeping probabilities for 12°C or below low. Traders will watch updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus Met Office briefings for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$878End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate overnight lows in London on September 6 will likely reach 13–15°C under building high pressure, lighter southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling while drawing in mild Atlantic air. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 14°C and 15°C, reflecting typical early-September climatology where average lows hover near 12°C but current conditions suppress further drops. No significant cold advection or clear-sky extremes appear imminent, keeping probabilities for 12°C or below low. Traders will watch updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus Met Office briefings for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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