Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 17–18 °C for London on 25 August under high pressure, with clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling after daytime maxima around 25 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 16–17 °C reflects modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, alongside historical late-August climatology where minima average 14–15 °C but have trended warmer in recent years. Key variables remain the precise timing of any Atlantic front and urban heat-island effects, with updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF expected before market resolution to refine these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 25?
Lowest temperature in London on August 25?
17°C 39%
16°C 31%
15°C 15%
18°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15°C
15%
16°C
31%
17°C
39%
18°C
10%
19°C
9%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 39%
16°C 31%
15°C 15%
18°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
11°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$5 Vol.
1%
13°C
$4 Vol.
3%
14°C
$0 Vol.
7%
15°C
$31 Vol.
15%
16°C
$185 Vol.
31%
17°C
$90 Vol.
39%
18°C
$40 Vol.
10%
19°C
$82 Vol.
9%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 17–18 °C for London on 25 August under high pressure, with clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling after daytime maxima around 25 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 16–17 °C reflects modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, alongside historical late-August climatology where minima average 14–15 °C but have trended warmer in recent years. Key variables remain the precise timing of any Atlantic front and urban heat-island effects, with updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF expected before market resolution to refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$458End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 17–18 °C for London on 25 August under high pressure, with clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling after daytime maxima around 25 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 16–17 °C reflects modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, alongside historical late-August climatology where minima average 14–15 °C but have trended warmer in recent years. Key variables remain the precise timing of any Atlantic front and urban heat-island effects, with updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF expected before market resolution to refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$458End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 17–18 °C for London on 25 August under high pressure, with clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling after daytime maxima around 25 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 16–17 °C reflects modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, alongside historical late-August climatology where minima average 14–15 °C but have trended warmer in recent years. Key variables remain the precise timing of any Atlantic front and urban heat-island effects, with updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF expected before market resolution to refine these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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