Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a mild overnight low near 13–14°C for London on August 23, driven by a shift toward more changeable conditions after a prolonged dry spell, with high pressure yielding sunny intervals and light winds. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling, while light southeast winds and moderate humidity limit further drops; small variations in cloud cover or wind could differentiate outcomes between 12°C and 15°C. Historical August minima average around 14°C, and with resolution hinging on the official recorded low, trader consensus clusters on 13–14°C as models converge on these values two days ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 23?
Lowest temperature in London on August 23?
13°C 36%
14°C 31%
12°C 17%
11°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
6%
11°C
10%
12°C
17%
13°C
36%
14°C
31%
15°C
6%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 36%
14°C 31%
12°C 17%
11°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$17 Vol.
1%
9°C
$17 Vol.
2%
10°C
$10 Vol.
6%
11°C
$131 Vol.
10%
12°C
$665 Vol.
17%
13°C
$1,267 Vol.
36%
14°C
$711 Vol.
31%
15°C
$266 Vol.
6%
16°C
$66 Vol.
5%
17°C
$47 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$71 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a mild overnight low near 13–14°C for London on August 23, driven by a shift toward more changeable conditions after a prolonged dry spell, with high pressure yielding sunny intervals and light winds. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling, while light southeast winds and moderate humidity limit further drops; small variations in cloud cover or wind could differentiate outcomes between 12°C and 15°C. Historical August minima average around 14°C, and with resolution hinging on the official recorded low, trader consensus clusters on 13–14°C as models converge on these values two days ahead.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,269End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a mild overnight low near 13–14°C for London on August 23, driven by a shift toward more changeable conditions after a prolonged dry spell, with high pressure yielding sunny intervals and light winds. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling, while light southeast winds and moderate humidity limit further drops; small variations in cloud cover or wind could differentiate outcomes between 12°C and 15°C. Historical August minima average around 14°C, and with resolution hinging on the official recorded low, trader consensus clusters on 13–14°C as models converge on these values two days ahead.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,269End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a mild overnight low near 13–14°C for London on August 23, driven by a shift toward more changeable conditions after a prolonged dry spell, with high pressure yielding sunny intervals and light winds. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling, while light southeast winds and moderate humidity limit further drops; small variations in cloud cover or wind could differentiate outcomes between 12°C and 15°C. Historical August minima average around 14°C, and with resolution hinging on the official recorded low, trader consensus clusters on 13–14°C as models converge on these values two days ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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