Trader consensus has converged on an 78-79°F low for Miami on June 11 because official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum in that exact band, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 76-80°F overnight lows during early June. Persistent warm, humid tropical air under light easterly flow limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. With the event now complete and data released, implied probability exceeds 99% as the market nears resolution. The only realistic adjustment would come from a late revision in the NWS daily climatological report, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 11. Juni?
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F oder darunter <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$16,371 Vol.
$16,371 Vol.
67°F oder darunter
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Ja
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85 °F
Nein
86°F oder höher
Nein
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F oder darunter <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$16,371 Vol.
$16,371 Vol.
67°F oder darunter
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Ja
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85 °F
Nein
86°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 9, 2026, 9:32 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus has converged on an 78-79°F low for Miami on June 11 because official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum in that exact band, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 76-80°F overnight lows during early June. Persistent warm, humid tropical air under light easterly flow limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. With the event now complete and data released, implied probability exceeds 99% as the market nears resolution. The only realistic adjustment would come from a late revision in the NWS daily climatological report, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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