Recent forecast updates from models like those used by the German Weather Service and BBC Weather place Munich’s overnight low for August 22 near 11–13 °C, reflecting the primary influence of clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high around 22–23 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on these values because ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with differences driven by small variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer humidity that can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (typical lows 12–14 °C) and the absence of strong frontal systems support the narrow distribution, while any late-model shift toward increased cloudiness or calm conditions could favor the lower tail. Updated runs expected overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 22?
11°C 55%
12°C 33%
13°C 33%
10°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
7%
9°C
10%
10°C
25%
11°C
36%
12°C
33%
13°C
33%
14°C
7%
15°C
6%
16°C or higher
23%
11°C 55%
12°C 33%
13°C 33%
10°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
$25 Vol.
1%
7°C
$65 Vol.
2%
8°C
$0 Vol.
7%
9°C
$0 Vol.
10%
10°C
$1 Vol.
25%
11°C
$16 Vol.
36%
12°C
$0 Vol.
33%
13°C
$0 Vol.
33%
14°C
$0 Vol.
7%
15°C
$0 Vol.
6%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models like those used by the German Weather Service and BBC Weather place Munich’s overnight low for August 22 near 11–13 °C, reflecting the primary influence of clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high around 22–23 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on these values because ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with differences driven by small variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer humidity that can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (typical lows 12–14 °C) and the absence of strong frontal systems support the narrow distribution, while any late-model shift toward increased cloudiness or calm conditions could favor the lower tail. Updated runs expected overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$108End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models like those used by the German Weather Service and BBC Weather place Munich’s overnight low for August 22 near 11–13 °C, reflecting the primary influence of clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high around 22–23 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on these values because ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with differences driven by small variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer humidity that can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (typical lows 12–14 °C) and the absence of strong frontal systems support the narrow distribution, while any late-model shift toward increased cloudiness or calm conditions could favor the lower tail. Updated runs expected overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$108End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from models like those used by the German Weather Service and BBC Weather place Munich’s overnight low for August 22 near 11–13 °C, reflecting the primary influence of clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds that permit moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high around 22–23 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on these values because ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with differences driven by small variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer humidity that can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (typical lows 12–14 °C) and the absence of strong frontal systems support the narrow distribution, while any late-model shift toward increased cloudiness or calm conditions could favor the lower tail. Updated runs expected overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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