Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich will experience clear to mostly clear skies and southerly flow on September 8, supporting an overnight low in the 17–19°C range under a strong high-pressure ridge. This setup favors radiative cooling limited by warm advection, pushing minimum temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched probabilities around 12–15°C versus 17–19°C options highlights remaining uncertainty in exact model timing of any late-night cooling or localized variations, with new ECMWF and DWD runs expected overnight to refine the outcome. Historical September minima rarely dip below 10°C without significant frontal passage, which current guidance does not support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 8?
12°C or below 51%
17°C 50%
14°C 32%
13°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
42%
13°C
31%
14°C
32%
15°C
25%
16°C
23%
17°C
50%
18°C
16%
19°C
24%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
8%
12°C or below 51%
17°C 50%
14°C 32%
13°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
$15 Vol.
42%
13°C
$5 Vol.
31%
14°C
$5 Vol.
32%
15°C
$158 Vol.
25%
16°C
$157 Vol.
23%
17°C
$0 Vol.
50%
18°C
$0 Vol.
16%
19°C
$43 Vol.
24%
20°C
$0 Vol.
7%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich will experience clear to mostly clear skies and southerly flow on September 8, supporting an overnight low in the 17–19°C range under a strong high-pressure ridge. This setup favors radiative cooling limited by warm advection, pushing minimum temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched probabilities around 12–15°C versus 17–19°C options highlights remaining uncertainty in exact model timing of any late-night cooling or localized variations, with new ECMWF and DWD runs expected overnight to refine the outcome. Historical September minima rarely dip below 10°C without significant frontal passage, which current guidance does not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$383End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich will experience clear to mostly clear skies and southerly flow on September 8, supporting an overnight low in the 17–19°C range under a strong high-pressure ridge. This setup favors radiative cooling limited by warm advection, pushing minimum temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched probabilities around 12–15°C versus 17–19°C options highlights remaining uncertainty in exact model timing of any late-night cooling or localized variations, with new ECMWF and DWD runs expected overnight to refine the outcome. Historical September minima rarely dip below 10°C without significant frontal passage, which current guidance does not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$383End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich will experience clear to mostly clear skies and southerly flow on September 8, supporting an overnight low in the 17–19°C range under a strong high-pressure ridge. This setup favors radiative cooling limited by warm advection, pushing minimum temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched probabilities around 12–15°C versus 17–19°C options highlights remaining uncertainty in exact model timing of any late-night cooling or localized variations, with new ECMWF and DWD runs expected overnight to refine the outcome. Historical September minima rarely dip below 10°C without significant frontal passage, which current guidance does not support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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