Current short-range forecast models from the National Weather Service point to an overnight low in the mid-60s for New York City on June 15, driven by mild southerly flow, limited cloud cover allowing moderate radiational cooling, and the absence of strong cold-air advection. This aligns with June climatology, where Central Park averages near 66–67 °F for daily minima, and recent ensemble guidance has converged on that range with low spread. Trader consensus reflected in the 40 % probability for 66–67 °F incorporates the stabilizing forecast as resolution approaches, while lower-probability bins account for potential model shifts or localized urban heat-island effects that could nudge the official reading slightly warmer or cooler.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 15 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 15 de junho?
66-67°F 40%
68-69°F 16%
64-65°F 13%
70-71°F 7%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
55°F ou menos
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
40%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
1%
74°F ou mais
<1%
66-67°F 40%
68-69°F 16%
64-65°F 13%
70-71°F 7%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
55°F ou menos
$194 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,272 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,370 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$254 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$115 Vol.
7%
64-65°F
$35 Vol.
13%
66-67°F
$42 Vol.
40%
68-69°F
$76 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$805 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$844 Vol.
1%
74°F ou mais
$443 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from the National Weather Service point to an overnight low in the mid-60s for New York City on June 15, driven by mild southerly flow, limited cloud cover allowing moderate radiational cooling, and the absence of strong cold-air advection. This aligns with June climatology, where Central Park averages near 66–67 °F for daily minima, and recent ensemble guidance has converged on that range with low spread. Trader consensus reflected in the 40 % probability for 66–67 °F incorporates the stabilizing forecast as resolution approaches, while lower-probability bins account for potential model shifts or localized urban heat-island effects that could nudge the official reading slightly warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volume
$5,409Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from the National Weather Service point to an overnight low in the mid-60s for New York City on June 15, driven by mild southerly flow, limited cloud cover allowing moderate radiational cooling, and the absence of strong cold-air advection. This aligns with June climatology, where Central Park averages near 66–67 °F for daily minima, and recent ensemble guidance has converged on that range with low spread. Trader consensus reflected in the 40 % probability for 66–67 °F incorporates the stabilizing forecast as resolution approaches, while lower-probability bins account for potential model shifts or localized urban heat-island effects that could nudge the official reading slightly warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,409Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from the National Weather Service point to an overnight low in the mid-60s for New York City on June 15, driven by mild southerly flow, limited cloud cover allowing moderate radiational cooling, and the absence of strong cold-air advection. This aligns with June climatology, where Central Park averages near 66–67 °F for daily minima, and recent ensemble guidance has converged on that range with low spread. Trader consensus reflected in the 40 % probability for 66–67 °F incorporates the stabilizing forecast as resolution approaches, while lower-probability bins account for potential model shifts or localized urban heat-island effects that could nudge the official reading slightly warmer or cooler.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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