Recent forecast models for Qingdao indicate minimum temperatures near 21–23°C on September 2 amid stable high-pressure conditions and northeast sea breezes moderating coastal readings. Marine influence and typical early-September climatology support overnight lows in the low 20s°C, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to prevent sharper cooling. Trader consensus favoring 17°C as the leading outcome reflects model uncertainty in short-range runs and potential for revised guidance closer to the date, while probabilities for 16°C or below capture downside risks from stronger northerly flow. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates will likely refine these implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 2?
16°C or below 85%
18°C 78%
19°C 78%
17°C 58%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
85%
17°C
58%
18°C
78%
19°C
78%
20°C
26%
21°C
25%
22°C
45%
23°C
45%
24°C
44%
25°C
47%
26°C or higher
48%
16°C or below 85%
18°C 78%
19°C 78%
17°C 58%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
85%
17°C
$0 Vol.
58%
18°C
$0 Vol.
78%
19°C
$0 Vol.
78%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
45%
23°C
$0 Vol.
45%
24°C
$0 Vol.
44%
25°C
$0 Vol.
47%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Qingdao indicate minimum temperatures near 21–23°C on September 2 amid stable high-pressure conditions and northeast sea breezes moderating coastal readings. Marine influence and typical early-September climatology support overnight lows in the low 20s°C, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to prevent sharper cooling. Trader consensus favoring 17°C as the leading outcome reflects model uncertainty in short-range runs and potential for revised guidance closer to the date, while probabilities for 16°C or below capture downside risks from stronger northerly flow. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Qingdao indicate minimum temperatures near 21–23°C on September 2 amid stable high-pressure conditions and northeast sea breezes moderating coastal readings. Marine influence and typical early-September climatology support overnight lows in the low 20s°C, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to prevent sharper cooling. Trader consensus favoring 17°C as the leading outcome reflects model uncertainty in short-range runs and potential for revised guidance closer to the date, while probabilities for 16°C or below capture downside risks from stronger northerly flow. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Qingdao indicate minimum temperatures near 21–23°C on September 2 amid stable high-pressure conditions and northeast sea breezes moderating coastal readings. Marine influence and typical early-September climatology support overnight lows in the low 20s°C, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to prevent sharper cooling. Trader consensus favoring 17°C as the leading outcome reflects model uncertainty in short-range runs and potential for revised guidance closer to the date, while probabilities for 16°C or below capture downside risks from stronger northerly flow. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates will likely refine these implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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