Current KMA forecasts for Incheon on August 20 project a daily minimum near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with 30% AM precipitation chance and highs reaching 33°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading 25°C outcome. Regional late-summer conditions—elevated humidity, weak nocturnal radiative cooling, and steering patterns favoring onshore flow—limit overnight drops below 24°C while keeping 26°C plausible if daytime heating lingers. Model consensus from recent runs shows little divergence, though fresh KMA updates or shifts in cloud cover could adjust the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 20?
25°C 52%
26°C 19%
27°C 6%
22°C 5%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
30%
25°C
52%
26°C
19%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 52%
26°C 19%
27°C 6%
22°C 5%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
30%
25°C
52%
26°C
19%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current KMA forecasts for Incheon on August 20 project a daily minimum near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with 30% AM precipitation chance and highs reaching 33°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading 25°C outcome. Regional late-summer conditions—elevated humidity, weak nocturnal radiative cooling, and steering patterns favoring onshore flow—limit overnight drops below 24°C while keeping 26°C plausible if daytime heating lingers. Model consensus from recent runs shows little divergence, though fresh KMA updates or shifts in cloud cover could adjust the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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