Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon aviation observations point to a minimum of 24–26°C on August 25, aligning with trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes. Persistent warm, humid conditions from the late-summer air mass, combined with mostly cloudy skies and light winds, limit overnight radiative cooling and support these levels. Climatological normals for Incheon in late August show typical lows of 23–25°C, but recent observations (including 25°C on August 20) and a developing El Niño pattern favoring above-average regional temperatures have kept implied probabilities clustered near the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation before resolution remain key variables that could adjust the final recorded low at the Incheon station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
26°C 43%
25°C 29%
27°C 22%
24°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
13%
25°C
29%
26°C
43%
27°C
18%
28°C
11%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
4%
26°C 43%
25°C 29%
27°C 22%
24°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$25 Vol.
4%
22°C
$20 Vol.
4%
23°C
$30 Vol.
7%
24°C
$30 Vol.
13%
25°C
$50 Vol.
29%
26°C
$30 Vol.
43%
27°C
$161 Vol.
18%
28°C
$10 Vol.
11%
29°C
$40 Vol.
1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
4%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon aviation observations point to a minimum of 24–26°C on August 25, aligning with trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes. Persistent warm, humid conditions from the late-summer air mass, combined with mostly cloudy skies and light winds, limit overnight radiative cooling and support these levels. Climatological normals for Incheon in late August show typical lows of 23–25°C, but recent observations (including 25°C on August 20) and a developing El Niño pattern favoring above-average regional temperatures have kept implied probabilities clustered near the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation before resolution remain key variables that could adjust the final recorded low at the Incheon station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$411End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon aviation observations point to a minimum of 24–26°C on August 25, aligning with trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes. Persistent warm, humid conditions from the late-summer air mass, combined with mostly cloudy skies and light winds, limit overnight radiative cooling and support these levels. Climatological normals for Incheon in late August show typical lows of 23–25°C, but recent observations (including 25°C on August 20) and a developing El Niño pattern favoring above-average regional temperatures have kept implied probabilities clustered near the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation before resolution remain key variables that could adjust the final recorded low at the Incheon station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$411End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon aviation observations point to a minimum of 24–26°C on August 25, aligning with trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes. Persistent warm, humid conditions from the late-summer air mass, combined with mostly cloudy skies and light winds, limit overnight radiative cooling and support these levels. Climatological normals for Incheon in late August show typical lows of 23–25°C, but recent observations (including 25°C on August 20) and a developing El Niño pattern favoring above-average regional temperatures have kept implied probabilities clustered near the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation before resolution remain key variables that could adjust the final recorded low at the Incheon station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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