Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts for Seoul-Incheon on August 23 indicate a minimum temperature near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and low precipitation probability around 20–30%, consistent with typical late-August nocturnal cooling rates in the region. These conditions, combined with persistent high humidity from the North Pacific high-pressure system, position 24–26°C as the most probable range while limiting sharp drops below 23°C. Ensemble model consensus and climatological baselines showing average August overnight lows of 22–24°C further support the market's emphasis on 25°C as the leading outcome at 47.5% implied probability, with limited recent data shifts from ongoing heat and humidity patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 23?
25°C 48%
24°C 25%
26°C 16%
23°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
25%
25°C
48%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 48%
24°C 25%
26°C 16%
23°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$25 Vol.
1%
21°C
$55 Vol.
1%
22°C
$91 Vol.
5%
23°C
$223 Vol.
8%
24°C
$315 Vol.
25%
25°C
$99 Vol.
48%
26°C
$1,314 Vol.
16%
27°C
$32 Vol.
3%
28°C
$30 Vol.
1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$43 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts for Seoul-Incheon on August 23 indicate a minimum temperature near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and low precipitation probability around 20–30%, consistent with typical late-August nocturnal cooling rates in the region. These conditions, combined with persistent high humidity from the North Pacific high-pressure system, position 24–26°C as the most probable range while limiting sharp drops below 23°C. Ensemble model consensus and climatological baselines showing average August overnight lows of 22–24°C further support the market's emphasis on 25°C as the leading outcome at 47.5% implied probability, with limited recent data shifts from ongoing heat and humidity patterns.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,255End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts for Seoul-Incheon on August 23 indicate a minimum temperature near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and low precipitation probability around 20–30%, consistent with typical late-August nocturnal cooling rates in the region. These conditions, combined with persistent high humidity from the North Pacific high-pressure system, position 24–26°C as the most probable range while limiting sharp drops below 23°C. Ensemble model consensus and climatological baselines showing average August overnight lows of 22–24°C further support the market's emphasis on 25°C as the leading outcome at 47.5% implied probability, with limited recent data shifts from ongoing heat and humidity patterns.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,255End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts for Seoul-Incheon on August 23 indicate a minimum temperature near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and low precipitation probability around 20–30%, consistent with typical late-August nocturnal cooling rates in the region. These conditions, combined with persistent high humidity from the North Pacific high-pressure system, position 24–26°C as the most probable range while limiting sharp drops below 23°C. Ensemble model consensus and climatological baselines showing average August overnight lows of 22–24°C further support the market's emphasis on 25°C as the leading outcome at 47.5% implied probability, with limited recent data shifts from ongoing heat and humidity patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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