Latest forecasts from agencies like Malaysia's meteorological service point to a daytime maximum near 34°C on August 24 in Kuala Lumpur, yet market odds cluster around 34–36°C due to short-range model uncertainty in convective timing. In this equatorial setting, peak temperatures hinge on solar insolation modulated by cloud cover and moisture; clearer skies could push readings to 35°C or above via enhanced surface heating, while early afternoon thunderstorms—common in the southwest monsoon transition—promote evaporative cooling and cap highs nearer 34°C. Urban heat island effects and humidity further amplify variability, with official guidance noting isolated storms as the key near-term factor. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 24?
34°C 38%
35°C 32%
36°C or higher 21%
33°C 14%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
29%
35°C
32%
36°C or higher
21%
34°C 38%
35°C 32%
36°C or higher 21%
33°C 14%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
29%
35°C
32%
36°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from agencies like Malaysia's meteorological service point to a daytime maximum near 34°C on August 24 in Kuala Lumpur, yet market odds cluster around 34–36°C due to short-range model uncertainty in convective timing. In this equatorial setting, peak temperatures hinge on solar insolation modulated by cloud cover and moisture; clearer skies could push readings to 35°C or above via enhanced surface heating, while early afternoon thunderstorms—common in the southwest monsoon transition—promote evaporative cooling and cap highs nearer 34°C. Urban heat island effects and humidity further amplify variability, with official guidance noting isolated storms as the key near-term factor. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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