**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 9, 2026, at 92% implied probability, reflecting alignment across multiple forecast models.** Current conditions feature northerly winds at 10–20 km/h moderating overnight cooling under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with official guidance from regional meteorological sources projecting a low near 24°C after daytime highs of 26–29°C. This fits typical early-September climatology for the region, where subtropical moisture and light winds limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights. Slight downward revisions remain possible if increased cloud cover or a wind shift develops, though most ensemble runs cluster tightly around this threshold with limited divergence expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
24°C 95%
23°C 4.1%
22°C 3.0%
21°C <1%
$11,845 Vol.
$11,845 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
95%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 95%
23°C 4.1%
22°C 3.0%
21°C <1%
$11,845 Vol.
$11,845 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
$231 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$516 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,089 Vol.
3%
23°C
$2,344 Vol.
4%
24°C
$4,378 Vol.
95%
25°C
$1,221 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$396 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 9, 2026, at 92% implied probability, reflecting alignment across multiple forecast models.**
Current conditions feature northerly winds at 10–20 km/h moderating overnight cooling under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with official guidance from regional meteorological sources projecting a low near 24°C after daytime highs of 26–29°C. This fits typical early-September climatology for the region, where subtropical moisture and light winds limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights. Slight downward revisions remain possible if increased cloud cover or a wind shift develops, though most ensemble runs cluster tightly around this threshold with limited divergence expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$11,845End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 9, 2026, at 92% implied probability, reflecting alignment across multiple forecast models.**
Current conditions feature northerly winds at 10–20 km/h moderating overnight cooling under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with official guidance from regional meteorological sources projecting a low near 24°C after daytime highs of 26–29°C. This fits typical early-September climatology for the region, where subtropical moisture and light winds limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights. Slight downward revisions remain possible if increased cloud cover or a wind shift develops, though most ensemble runs cluster tightly around this threshold with limited divergence expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,845End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 9, 2026, at 92% implied probability, reflecting alignment across multiple forecast models.** Current conditions feature northerly winds at 10–20 km/h moderating overnight cooling under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with official guidance from regional meteorological sources projecting a low near 24°C after daytime highs of 26–29°C. This fits typical early-September climatology for the region, where subtropical moisture and light winds limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights. Slight downward revisions remain possible if increased cloud cover or a wind shift develops, though most ensemble runs cluster tightly around this threshold with limited divergence expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions