Trader sentiment for Taipei's August 24 low reflects high uncertainty in short-range nocturnal cooling amid typical late-summer conditions, with market odds clustered near 26–27°C alongside notable probability on cooler outcomes. August climatology features overnight lows around 26°C under high humidity and frequent showers, but variable cloud cover, rainfall intensity, and any typhoon-related steering flows can enhance radiative cooling or suppress it through increased mixing. Official Central Weather Administration guidance points to showers and 26–29°C ranges for the period, while model consensus on exact minimums remains sensitive to afternoon convection timing and urban heat-island effects. This genuine forecast spread, typical for tropical monsoon environments two days out, explains the balanced probabilities rather than any single dominant scenario.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
21°C or below 44%
22°C 42%
26°C 29%
27°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
44%
22°C
42%
23°C
22%
24°C
23%
25°C
23%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
23%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
11%
21°C or below 44%
22°C 42%
26°C 29%
27°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$5,276 Vol.
44%
22°C
$5 Vol.
42%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
23%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
29%
28°C
$75 Vol.
23%
29°C
$60 Vol.
12%
30°C
$75 Vol.
5%
31°C or higher
$1,969 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Taipei's August 24 low reflects high uncertainty in short-range nocturnal cooling amid typical late-summer conditions, with market odds clustered near 26–27°C alongside notable probability on cooler outcomes. August climatology features overnight lows around 26°C under high humidity and frequent showers, but variable cloud cover, rainfall intensity, and any typhoon-related steering flows can enhance radiative cooling or suppress it through increased mixing. Official Central Weather Administration guidance points to showers and 26–29°C ranges for the period, while model consensus on exact minimums remains sensitive to afternoon convection timing and urban heat-island effects. This genuine forecast spread, typical for tropical monsoon environments two days out, explains the balanced probabilities rather than any single dominant scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$7,460End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Taipei's August 24 low reflects high uncertainty in short-range nocturnal cooling amid typical late-summer conditions, with market odds clustered near 26–27°C alongside notable probability on cooler outcomes. August climatology features overnight lows around 26°C under high humidity and frequent showers, but variable cloud cover, rainfall intensity, and any typhoon-related steering flows can enhance radiative cooling or suppress it through increased mixing. Official Central Weather Administration guidance points to showers and 26–29°C ranges for the period, while model consensus on exact minimums remains sensitive to afternoon convection timing and urban heat-island effects. This genuine forecast spread, typical for tropical monsoon environments two days out, explains the balanced probabilities rather than any single dominant scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,460End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Taipei's August 24 low reflects high uncertainty in short-range nocturnal cooling amid typical late-summer conditions, with market odds clustered near 26–27°C alongside notable probability on cooler outcomes. August climatology features overnight lows around 26°C under high humidity and frequent showers, but variable cloud cover, rainfall intensity, and any typhoon-related steering flows can enhance radiative cooling or suppress it through increased mixing. Official Central Weather Administration guidance points to showers and 26–29°C ranges for the period, while model consensus on exact minimums remains sensitive to afternoon convection timing and urban heat-island effects. This genuine forecast spread, typical for tropical monsoon environments two days out, explains the balanced probabilities rather than any single dominant scenario.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions