Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C low for Tel Aviv on September 9, reflecting official forecast consensus from models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level under clear skies and light northerly winds. Typical early-September climatology in the region features gradual nocturnal cooling to 23–25°C amid high pressure and low humidity, with no incoming fronts or enhanced cloud cover to alter radiative cooling rates. Recent observations confirm daytime highs near 31–32°C transitioning to these minimums without significant deviations from seasonal baselines. Upcoming verification from local meteorological stations will resolve the exact hourly minimum, though current model agreement limits upside for cooler outcomes below 23°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 9?
24°C 99.5%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
18°C or below <1%
$1,599 Vol.
$1,599 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 99.5%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
18°C or below <1%
$1,599 Vol.
$1,599 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
18°C or below
$121 Vol.
No
19°C
$52 Vol.
No
20°C
$70 Vol.
No
21°C
$30 Vol.
No
22°C
$61 Vol.
No
23°C
$75 Vol.
No
24°C
$597 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$100 Vol.
No
26°C
$105 Vol.
No
27°C
$174 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$215 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C low for Tel Aviv on September 9, reflecting official forecast consensus from models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level under clear skies and light northerly winds. Typical early-September climatology in the region features gradual nocturnal cooling to 23–25°C amid high pressure and low humidity, with no incoming fronts or enhanced cloud cover to alter radiative cooling rates. Recent observations confirm daytime highs near 31–32°C transitioning to these minimums without significant deviations from seasonal baselines. Upcoming verification from local meteorological stations will resolve the exact hourly minimum, though current model agreement limits upside for cooler outcomes below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,599End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C low for Tel Aviv on September 9, reflecting official forecast consensus from models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level under clear skies and light northerly winds. Typical early-September climatology in the region features gradual nocturnal cooling to 23–25°C amid high pressure and low humidity, with no incoming fronts or enhanced cloud cover to alter radiative cooling rates. Recent observations confirm daytime highs near 31–32°C transitioning to these minimums without significant deviations from seasonal baselines. Upcoming verification from local meteorological stations will resolve the exact hourly minimum, though current model agreement limits upside for cooler outcomes below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,599End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C low for Tel Aviv on September 9, reflecting official forecast consensus from models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level under clear skies and light northerly winds. Typical early-September climatology in the region features gradual nocturnal cooling to 23–25°C amid high pressure and low humidity, with no incoming fronts or enhanced cloud cover to alter radiative cooling rates. Recent observations confirm daytime highs near 31–32°C transitioning to these minimums without significant deviations from seasonal baselines. Upcoming verification from local meteorological stations will resolve the exact hourly minimum, though current model agreement limits upside for cooler outcomes below 23°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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