Incumbent Keith Ellison holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election, reflecting his strong Democratic primary performance and long tenure in the role. Republican nominee Ron Schutz has narrowed the gap in recent KSTP/SurveyUSA polling, tying Ellison at 43% with 15% undecided ahead of the November 3 general election. Key factors include voter focus on Medicaid fraud enforcement records, consumer protection actions, and the race's positioning as one of Minnesota's more competitive statewide contests. The market's implied probabilities align with historical Democratic dominance in the office while accounting for potential shifts from undecided voters and turnout in battleground areas. No major late-breaking developments have altered the core dynamics since the August primaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Keith Ellison (D)
73%

Ronald J. Schutz (R)
23%

Keith Ellison (D)
73%

Ronald J. Schutz (R)
23%
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Keith Ellison holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election, reflecting his strong Democratic primary performance and long tenure in the role. Republican nominee Ron Schutz has narrowed the gap in recent KSTP/SurveyUSA polling, tying Ellison at 43% with 15% undecided ahead of the November 3 general election. Key factors include voter focus on Medicaid fraud enforcement records, consumer protection actions, and the race's positioning as one of Minnesota's more competitive statewide contests. The market's implied probabilities align with historical Democratic dominance in the office while accounting for potential shifts from undecided voters and turnout in battleground areas. No major late-breaking developments have altered the core dynamics since the August primaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions