Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf retains strong backing as Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his May 2026 re-election to a seventh consecutive term with 235 of 271 votes cast. Internal challenges have surfaced from a small group of ultraconservative Paydari Party lawmakers critical of his dual role as lead negotiator in talks with the United States and his handling of parliamentary sessions amid the ongoing conflict. These critics cite alleged violations of Supreme Leader red lines and procedural issues around session closures, yet internal tallies show fewer than 30 lawmakers aligned against him. Ghalibaf continues to address parliament on military-diplomatic strategy, including conditions for Strait of Hormuz reopening, reflecting sustained institutional support tied to his Revolutionary Guards background and majority faction alignment. Any shift would likely require broader elite consensus or major developments in negotiations or wartime dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$56,252 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
2%
December 31
13%
$56,252 Vol.
September 30
$9,228 Vol.
2%
December 31
$23,437 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf retains strong backing as Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his May 2026 re-election to a seventh consecutive term with 235 of 271 votes cast. Internal challenges have surfaced from a small group of ultraconservative Paydari Party lawmakers critical of his dual role as lead negotiator in talks with the United States and his handling of parliamentary sessions amid the ongoing conflict. These critics cite alleged violations of Supreme Leader red lines and procedural issues around session closures, yet internal tallies show fewer than 30 lawmakers aligned against him. Ghalibaf continues to address parliament on military-diplomatic strategy, including conditions for Strait of Hormuz reopening, reflecting sustained institutional support tied to his Revolutionary Guards background and majority faction alignment. Any shift would likely require broader elite consensus or major developments in negotiations or wartime dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Volume
$56,252End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf retains strong backing as Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his May 2026 re-election to a seventh consecutive term with 235 of 271 votes cast. Internal challenges have surfaced from a small group of ultraconservative Paydari Party lawmakers critical of his dual role as lead negotiator in talks with the United States and his handling of parliamentary sessions amid the ongoing conflict. These critics cite alleged violations of Supreme Leader red lines and procedural issues around session closures, yet internal tallies show fewer than 30 lawmakers aligned against him. Ghalibaf continues to address parliament on military-diplomatic strategy, including conditions for Strait of Hormuz reopening, reflecting sustained institutional support tied to his Revolutionary Guards background and majority faction alignment. Any shift would likely require broader elite consensus or major developments in negotiations or wartime dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,252End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf retains strong backing as Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his May 2026 re-election to a seventh consecutive term with 235 of 271 votes cast. Internal challenges have surfaced from a small group of ultraconservative Paydari Party lawmakers critical of his dual role as lead negotiator in talks with the United States and his handling of parliamentary sessions amid the ongoing conflict. These critics cite alleged violations of Supreme Leader red lines and procedural issues around session closures, yet internal tallies show fewer than 30 lawmakers aligned against him. Ghalibaf continues to address parliament on military-diplomatic strategy, including conditions for Strait of Hormuz reopening, reflecting sustained institutional support tied to his Revolutionary Guards background and majority faction alignment. Any shift would likely require broader elite consensus or major developments in negotiations or wartime dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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