Masoud Pezeshkian has remained in office as Iran's president through the 2026 conflict and leadership transition following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination, despite recurring reports of resignation threats and internal friction with hardline factions and the IRGC. Recent statements in August 2026 saw him explicitly deny resignation intentions during interviews and reject claims of repeated offers to step down over disputes on U.S. negotiations and Strait of Hormuz policy. These episodes, combined with his public push for diplomatic talks to end the "no war, no peace" impasse, have kept trader-implied probabilities of removal by year-end low, reflecting limited confirmed momentum for ouster amid ongoing factional tensions and scheduled diplomatic contacts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMasoud Pezeshkian out by...?
$862,066 Vol.
December 31
15%
$862,066 Vol.
December 31
15%
An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 8, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Masoud Pezeshkian has remained in office as Iran's president through the 2026 conflict and leadership transition following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination, despite recurring reports of resignation threats and internal friction with hardline factions and the IRGC. Recent statements in August 2026 saw him explicitly deny resignation intentions during interviews and reject claims of repeated offers to step down over disputes on U.S. negotiations and Strait of Hormuz policy. These episodes, combined with his public push for diplomatic talks to end the "no war, no peace" impasse, have kept trader-implied probabilities of removal by year-end low, reflecting limited confirmed momentum for ouster amid ongoing factional tensions and scheduled diplomatic contacts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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