Republican incumbent Brad Knott, who secured the nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, holds a strong position heading into the November general election against Democratic nominee Paul Barringer. The district’s Republican-leaning partisan voting index and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition have shaped trader consensus around an elevated probability for the Republican Party. Recent primary outcomes and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or lean Republican reinforce this positioning, while the absence of major late-breaking developments has kept probabilities stable since the March contests.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNC-13 House Election Winner
NC-13 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
18%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,234 Vol.
84%
Democratic Party
$3,892 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Knott, who secured the nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, holds a strong position heading into the November general election against Democratic nominee Paul Barringer. The district’s Republican-leaning partisan voting index and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition have shaped trader consensus around an elevated probability for the Republican Party. Recent primary outcomes and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or lean Republican reinforce this positioning, while the absence of major late-breaking developments has kept probabilities stable since the March contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$7,126End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Knott, who secured the nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, holds a strong position heading into the November general election against Democratic nominee Paul Barringer. The district’s Republican-leaning partisan voting index and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition have shaped trader consensus around an elevated probability for the Republican Party. Recent primary outcomes and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or lean Republican reinforce this positioning, while the absence of major late-breaking developments has kept probabilities stable since the March contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,126End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Knott, who secured the nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, holds a strong position heading into the November general election against Democratic nominee Paul Barringer. The district’s Republican-leaning partisan voting index and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition have shaped trader consensus around an elevated probability for the Republican Party. Recent primary outcomes and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or lean Republican reinforce this positioning, while the absence of major late-breaking developments has kept probabilities stable since the March contests.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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